DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK 0249 PM CDT THU APR 21 2005 VALID TIME 212000Z - 221200Z Probabilistic Outlook Points Day 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 31470034 33889836 36569719 39109677 40349796 41749969 42450045 42739984 42349759 41869343 40199060 38728926 36208934 32929110 30889511 29349922 31470034 0.05 42429985 41899761 41649354 40579210 39409095 37889058 35689136 34429218 33639413 33579621 34799699 36519665 38789615 40129681 40559784 42429985 0.15 41439730 41369364 40009250 39029353 39679471 40299576 40679685 41439730 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 35627573 35188043 34298291 34288520 32558486 30988552 30978779 32108867 32848986 32309094 30549489 29279799 28529965 31240111 33979883 36989743 38469749 41069897 42089984 42839779 42789298 41668849 40518635 38278359 38677954 38377772 37557585 0.15 31400037 34279795 37029685 40049762 41669917 42399819 42439421 42529312 41398843 40568704 39888628 36198671 33238960 32489217 30749507 29319925 31400037 0.25 33469811 34369707 36149642 38349662 40079704 41519762 42069621 41669262 40399005 39208842 37278776 33779022 32419359 31569528 31579813 31739880 33469811 0.35 41399625 41449351 41279283 38978989 37338897 34009077 33629446 33819543 35029640 36899611 38639624 40359678 41399625 SIGN 41599944 42439822 41859506 39579320 37619337 34219370 32059454 31099557 30719623 29349906 31380047 34059824 36989685 40069768 40889838 41599944 && ... WIND ... 0.05 35607552 35048053 34198284 34198502 32548485 31108554 30878795 31798844 32808981 30909409 28649961 31250097 34019883 37109737 39399795 41319921 42129990 42759730 42789310 41688831 40888679 38428380 38647949 38167700 37477544 0.15 31470052 34359810 36909700 40099746 41759935 42489778 42609306 41488888 40908731 39618623 36278664 33308949 32559207 30869520 29279933 0.25 34579639 36479475 36649364 37839199 38859151 39039001 38528896 37438770 36838795 36098814 35198903 34368977 33729086 32959285 32629438 32739529 34579639 0.35 37919128 38579084 38749013 38168936 37128868 35219007 34669172 34869292 35269376 36079359 36639266 37119191 37919128 && Categorical Outlook Points Day 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MDT 37788931 37198884 33959097 33649431 33809558 35029633 36709604 38409616 40319676 40899676 41479639 41539367 41129243 39129006 37788931 SLGT 30669531 29319919 31380050 33999854 35419754 36799704 39949756 40849823 41659946 42479826 42519325 41879011 41398843 40528689 39818625 36108670 33248961 32559216 30669531 TSTM 29770221 32470073 34229896 37989776 40679900 41339963 42010103 43990159 44899721 44499517 42638912 41668633 39968288 39637991 39357801 39377799 38177531 99999999 34997640 34708039 33218198 31428355 29648489 99999999 29758920 30849001 31549104 30659378 28889758 27569947 TSTM 28368279 28598145 26918075 26228009 TSTM 47202206 46592056 46001752 44671417 44121238 43591071 42850881 41770721 40840995 40751196 42371485 42781740 43132039 44092322 46122365 47202206 && THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM MDH 10 NNW PAH 35 N GLH 25 NW TXK 15 NNW PRX 30 WNW MLC BVO EMP BIE LNK 30 WNW OMA DSM OTM 15 N ALN MDH. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SW LFK HDO SJT SPS OKC PNC 30 N CNK 10 SSE GRI 20 NNE BBW 55 SW YKN 45 W ALO 35 NE MLI 15 E MMO LAF IND BNA 35 ESE GWO 10 WNW MLU 50 SW LFK. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE P07 50 ENE BGS 30 WNW SPS 10 SE HUT EAR BBW MHN PHP ATY RWF JVL SBN CMH MGW MRB MRB 15 SE SBY ...CONT... 35 E EWN 50 SE CLT 10 S AGS 30 NNE MGR 10 SE AQQ ...CONT... 30 NNE BVE 35 SE MCB 15 ESE HEZ 45 SW POE 35 N NIR LRD. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW PIE 10 WNW ORL 45 WNW PBI 30 NNE MIA. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE SEA YKM 35 SW LWS 35 SSW 27U 30 S MQM JAC LND RWL 35 NW VEL SLC 20 WSW TWF 80 SW BOI 65 N 4LW EUG 10 ESE AST 20 SSE SEA.