Jan-22-2005 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Jan 22 00:53:49 UTC 2005
Categorical Graphic
20050122 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20050122 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20050122 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20050122 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
   SPC AC 220049
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0649 PM CST FRI JAN 21 2005
   
   VALID 220100Z - 221200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSW TUS 25 ENE TUS
   50 SSE SAD 60 SW DMN.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SWRN U.S...
   
   CENTER OF UPPER CIRCULATION APPEARS TO HAVE DRIFTED A BIT FARTHER
   NORTHEAST THAN EARLIER EXPECTED WITH ONE SIGNIFICANT VORT LOBE NOW
   ROTATING NWWD ACROSS NRN MEXICO/SRN AZ.  THIS FEATURE ALLOWED SRN AZ
   TO DESTABILIZE SUFFICIENTLY FOR DEEP CONVECTION AND ISOLATED
   THUNDERSTORMS. WITH THE ONSET OF BOUNDARY LAYER COOLING...AND
   PASSAGE OF SHORTWAVE...IT APPEARS THE COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL
   GRADUALLY DECREASE WITH ONLY A MARGINAL THREAT ALONG THE BORDER FOR
   THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
   
   ..DARROW.. 01/22/2005
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z