Feb-11-2005 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Feb 11 01:00:08 UTC 2005
Categorical Graphic
20050211 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20050211 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20050211 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20050211 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
   SPC AC 110054
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0654 PM CST THU FEB 10 2005
   
   VALID 110100Z - 111200Z.
   
   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   IN UPPER LEVELS...DOMINANT FEATURES REMAIN NEW ENGLAND CYCLONE --
   WHICH WILL MOVE NEWD THROUGH REMAINDER PERIOD -- AND MEAN RIDGE FROM
   NERN MEX NWWD THROUGH BC.  SFC CYCLONE ASSOCIATED WITH NERN LOW IS
   EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER WATER WITH CAA DOMINATING BOUNDARY LAYER
   OVER ATLANTIC COAST.  POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR CONVECTION IN ELEVATED
   WAA CONVEYOR...WRAPPING AROUND NRN SEMICIRCLE OF LOW LEVEL CYCLONE. 
   HOWEVER BUOYANCY SHOULD BE TOO WEAK TO SUPPORT MORE THAN VERY
   BRIEF/ISOLATED TSTM POTENTIAL OVER LAND.  MEANWHILE UPPER LOW
   OFFSHORE BAJA CA WILL REMAIN TOO FAR AWAY FROM SERN CONUS TO SUPPORT
   THUNDER UNTIL AFTER END OF PERIOD.
   
   ..EDWARDS.. 02/11/2005
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z