SPC AC 060059
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0659 PM CST SAT MAR 05 2005
   
   VALID 060100Z - 061200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 W CZZ 25 E DAG 35
   ESE DRA 15 ENE SGU 30 ESE U17 45 NE DRO 10 NW LVS 50 NW CDS 35 SW
   SPS 20 SSE AUS 35 NW VCT 10 SE NIR 55 SSE LRD.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SWRN STATES...
   CLOSED MID-UPPER LOW...CURRENTLY LOCATED ALONG THE NRN COAST OF THE
   GULF OF CA...WILL MOVE SLOWLY EWD OVERNIGHT.  LARGE SCALE ASCENT
   ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING NWD THROUGH THE ERN
   PERIPHERY OF THIS CLOSED LOW WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THUNDERSTORM
   DEVELOPMENT FROM THE LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY EWD TO NM THROUGH 02-03Z.
   UNTIL THIS TIME...DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL REMAIN SUFFICIENT FOR STORM
   ORGANIZATION...WHILE MARGINAL INSTABILITY /MLCAPE AROUND 600 J/KG
   PER 00Z TUS SOUNDING/ SHOULD CONTINUE TO RESULT IN A LOW PROBABILITY
   THREAT FOR HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.  BOUNDARY LAYER STABILIZATION
   WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING WILL THEN DECREASE THE OVERALL
   ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT.  HOWEVER...CONTINUED LARGE SCALE ASCENT
   DOWNSTREAM OF THE CLOSED LOW IS EXPECTED TO SUPPORT SCATTERED
   THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE SWRN STATES EWD INTO W TX OVERNIGHT.
   
   ...ERN CAROLINAS AND SRN GA...
   WV IMAGERY INDICATED A MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH HAD MOVED
   OFFSHORE THE NERN NC COAST AT 23Z...WITH THE SRN EXTENT OF THIS WAVE
   TRAILING SWWD ACROSS THE SERN STATES.  AT THE SURFACE...AN
   ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT EXTENDED FROM OFF THE COAST OF NC/SC AND THEN
   WSWWD THROUGH SRN PORTIONS OF GA/AL.  THE STRONGEST STORMS HAVE
   MOVED OFFSHORE...WHILE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS...WHICH DEVELOPED IN THE
   POST FRONTAL WEAKLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT...WERE LOCATED OVER SERN
   NC/NERN SC AT 00Z.  THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OFFSHORE
   AROUND 01Z.  THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING WILL FURTHER STABILIZE THE
   BOUNDARY LAYER.  COMBINED WITH LARGE SCALE ASCENT WITH THE SHORT
   WAVE TROUGH MOVING OFFSHORE THIS EVENING...THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL
   END.
   
   ..PETERS.. 03/06/2005
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z