Mar- 9-2005 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Mar 9 16:36:02 UTC 2005
Categorical Graphic
20050309 1630 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20050309 1630 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20050309 1630 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20050309 1630 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
   SPC AC 091632
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1032 AM CST WED MAR 09 2005
   
   VALID 091630Z - 101200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW FMY 20 E PBI.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S CRP 30 W NIR 40
   NNW NIR 60 E CLL 30 WNW MLU 35 WSW GLH JAN 25 SE MOB.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...WRN GULF COAST STATES...
   WATER VAPOR IMAGERY LATE THIS MORNING FEATURES SHORTWAVE TROUGH
   PROGRESSING SEWD OVER THE ARKLATEX. THIS IMPULSE AND ASSOCIATED SFC
   LOW/WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO ADVANCE SEWD THROUGH THE WRN
   GULF COAST STATES THIS AFTERNOON...BREACHING THE COAST AROUND/JUST
   AFTER 00Z. LIMITED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY -- MUCAPE 250
   J/KG OR LESS -- IS EXPECTED TO CURB ANY SEVERE THREAT. GLANCING
   DYNAMIC ASCENT/WEAK LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE SHOULD TEND TO LIMIT TSTM
   COVERAGE PROGRESSIVELY SWD INTO DEEP SOUTH TX.
   
   ...SRN FL...
   SCATTERED/EMBEDDED TSTMS EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO EARLY THURSDAY
   ACROSS SRN FL. IN SPITE OF STRONG AMBIENT WIND FIELDS...WEAK LAPSE
   RATES/MEAGER INSTABILITY WILL LIMIT TSTM INTENSITY.
   
   ..GUYER/RACY.. 03/09/2005
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z