Apr- 3-2005 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sun Apr 3 16:28:01 UTC 2005
Categorical Graphic
20050403 1630 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20050403 1630 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20050403 1630 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20050403 1630 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
   SPC AC 031624
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1124 AM CDT SUN APR 03 2005
   
   VALID 031630Z - 041200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E RRT 30 WNW AXN
   40 NNW ATY 10 ESE MBG 50 SSE GDV 65 SW MLS 15 SSE COD 45 NNW VEL 45
   NE U24 55 S ELY 40 SW BIH 10 SE MRY.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   STACKED CYCLONE CURRENTLY OVER NY/NRN PA WILL SLOWLY TRANSITION
   ENEWD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND INTO EARLY MONDAY...WITH SHORTWAVE RIDGING
   BUILDING EWD THROUGH THE CNTRL STATES. SFC HIGH ALONG THE CNTRL GULF
   COAST WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EWD THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH
   INCREASING SLY TRAJECTORIES/LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN ACROSS TX. IN
   THE WEST...UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE ONSHORE THE WEST COAST...WITH
   ISOLD TSTMS EXPECTED ACROSS THE PACIFIC NW/NRN CA AND NRN
   INTERMOUNTAIN REGION. LATE IN THE PERIOD...NRN HIGH PLAINS
   CYCLOGENESIS WITH DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL JET/WAA REGIME MAY YIELD
   ISOLD TSTMS FROM ERN MT INTO ND /POSSIBLY NW MN/ LATE IN THE
   PERIOD...NAMELY AFTER 06Z.
   
   ..GUYER/EVANS.. 04/03/2005
   
   ...NOTICE...
   THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
   SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
   WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
   IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
   CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
   WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z