SPC AC 081237
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0737 AM CDT SAT OCT 08 2005
   
   VALID 081300Z - 091200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 SSW GBN 45 NNW GBN
   30 SE LAS 60 NNW DRA 45 S U31 20 S NFL 30 ESE SVE 60 NE SVE 75 SSE
   BNO 40 ESE BKE 40 SE S80 10 ESE BTM 15 SE WEY 30 S JAC 40 SW BPI 45
   WNW RKS 50 NNW RWL 45 SW DGW 20 ESE 4FC 30 NNE ALS 45 SE LVS 30 N
   CNM 30 S ELP.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW CTY 30 SW AYS
   60 N AYS 30 SW AGS 25 S AHN 50 NW AND 30 NW HKY 15 NNE PSK 25 SSE
   EKN 25 NW CXY 50 SSE UCA 10 NW LCI 45 S EPM.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...GREAT BASIN...
   MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS STRONG UPPER TROUGH ROTATING INTO
   THE GREAT BASIN...WITH BAND OF MODERATELY STRONG MID LEVEL WINDS
   EXTENDING FROM SOUTHERN CA INTO NV/UT. THIS AXIS OF STRONG WINDS
   ALOFT WILL OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE FOUR CORNERS REGION THIS
   AFTERNOON.  MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW A DEEP MIXED BOUNDARY
   LAYER...AND SUFFICIENT MLCAPE FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR AFTERNOON
   THUNDERSTORMS. PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT ISOLATED STORMS COULD
   PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL THIS AFTERNOON FROM CENTRAL
   UT/WESTERN CO INTO PARTS OF AZ/NM.  DESPITE STRONG FORCING...LIMITED
   INSTABILITY SHOULD PRECLUDE AN ORGANIZED SEVERE THREAT.  SEVERE
   THREAT WILL DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET DUE TO DIURNAL COOLING.
   
   ...EAST COAST...
   LARGE PLUME OF ABUNDANT LOW/MID LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO SPREAD
   NORTHWARD ACROSS MUCH OF NEW ENGLAND AND THE MID ATLANTIC REGION. 
   THREAT APPEARS SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY...WITH VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES
   REMAINING FAVORABLE FOR CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION.  HOWEVER...NEAR
   MOIST-ADIABATIC LAPSE RATES AND LITTLE POTENTIAL FOR DAYTIME HEATING
   WILL KEEP THREAT VERY ISOLATED.  LOCALLY GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS OR
   PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO APPEAR TO BE THE MAIN THREATS.
   
   ..HART/JEWELL.. 10/08/2005
   
   ...NOTICE...
   THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
   SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
   WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
   IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
   CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
   WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z