Oct 15, 2005 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook Updated: Sat Oct 15 00:38:13 UTC 2005 Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table in HTML, or PDF formats.
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SPC AC 150034 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0734 PM CDT FRI OCT 14 2005 VALID 150100Z - 151200Z GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 ESE OSC 30 SW OSC 10 N MBL 35 NE GRB 15 ENE IMT 25 NNE ESC 30 ESE MQT CMX 90 NW CMX. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 S GBN 25 E GBN 20 NE PHX 20 NE SOW 70 SSW GNT 25 E TCS 40 ENE ELP 70 WNW MRF. ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...SWRN U.S... DIURNAL CONVECTIVE PROCESSES BENEATH UPPER LOW OVER NRN MEXICO WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING LATER THIS EVENING. IN THE ABSENCE OF STRONG ADVECTION AND ONLY MEAGER INSTABILITY IT APPEARS THIS ACTIVITY WILL NOT SPREAD TOO FAR NORTH OF THE BORDER BEFORE WEAKENING. ...GREAT LAKES... STRONG ASCENT WITHIN WARM ADVECTION BELT OF ONTARIO/GREAT LAKES TROUGH HAS AIDED DEEP CONVECTION FROM NRN LAKE MI...NEWD INTO ONTARIO. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD SPREAD EWD TOWARD GEORGIAN BAY BEFORE GRADUALLY WEAKENING WITH ONLY ISOLATED LIGHTNING EXPECTED LATE. UPSTREAM...COLD ADVECTION ACROSS LAKE SUPERIOR AND STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT LAKE EFFECT SHOWERS WITH THE POSSIBILITY FOR A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. ..DARROW.. 10/15/2005 ...NOTICE... THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1... WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005 CONVECTIVE SEASON. A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS) WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION. CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z |