Nov 4, 2005 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook Updated: Fri Nov 4 16:30:13 UTC 2005 Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table in HTML, or PDF formats.
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SPC AC 041627 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1027 AM CST FRI NOV 04 2005 VALID 041630Z - 051200Z GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE BLI 45 SSE SEA 25 SW PDX 10 ENE ONP 55 WSW ONP. ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...PAC NW COAST... CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS IS ACCOMPANYING SURFACE COLD FRONT NOW APPROACHING THE WA COAST. AS ASSOCIATED SHORTWAVE TROUGH/-30C MID LEVEL COLD POCKET SPREAD EWD INTO THE PAC NW...SHALLOW LAYER OF INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT A FEW THUNDERSTORMS INTO COASTAL SECTIONS WHERE MARINE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL REMAIN PREVALENT. ...MID WEST... AIR MASS REMAINS QUITE DRY WITHIN BROAD SWLY FLOW EVIDENT OVER THE MIDDLE PORTION OF THE U.S. THIS MORNING WITH PW/S AOB 0.75 INCHES NORTH OF THE GULF COAST. THOUGH DEEP ASCENT WILL INCREASE INTO THE SRN GREAT LAKES OVERNIGHT WITHIN RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF EJECTING UPPER LEVEL JET...INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUITE WEAK. THEREFORE...THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE THAN VERY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS APPEARS TOO LOW THROUGH 12Z TO WARRANT MAINTAINING A GENERAL THUNDER AREA. ..EVANS/JEWELL.. 11/04/2005 ...NOTICE... THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1... WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005 CONVECTIVE SEASON. A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS) WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION. CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z |