Nov 11, 2005 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook Updated: Fri Nov 11 16:28:11 UTC 2005 Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table in HTML, or PDF formats.
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SPC AC 111625 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1025 AM CST FRI NOV 11 2005 VALID 111630Z - 121200Z GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE BLI 40 ENE AST 20 SSW AST. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE BLI 40 ENE AST 50 SW AST. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSW MRF 35 ESE HOB 35 WNW PVW 15 SSE TCC 10 ESE 4CR 35 NE SAD 10 S PHX 65 WSW PRC 50 SSW LAS 30 N DRA 60 SW ELY 25 E ENV 30 NW RKS 35 ENE RWL 20 S TOR 10 SSE EAR 20 SW BIE 20 SSW TOP 40 SE OKC 40 NW SEP 30 E JCT 20 SSW SAT 10 N VCT 40 SSE LBX. ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...SOUTHWEST STATES... LARGE UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES TODAY...WHILE STRONG TROUGH DIGS INTO THE SOUTHWEST. ISOLATED INTENSE CONVECTION IS OCCURRING OVER CENTRAL AZ...ALONG LEADING EDGE OF STRONGER LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROUGH. THESE STORMS MAY PERSIST MUCH OF THE DAY AS THEY SPREAD INTO SOUTHWEST CO AND NORTHWEST NM. COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND POCKETS OF DAYTIME HEATING WILL ENHANCE THE RISK OF HAIL IN STRONGER CELLS. HOWEVER...LIMITED MOISTURE/INSTABILITY SHOULD PRECLUDE AN ORGANIZED SEVERE THREAT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT FROM WEST TX INTO KS AS STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS DRAW MOISTURE NORTHWARD. NO SEVERE STORMS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. ..HART/CROSBIE.. 11/11/2005 ...NOTICE... THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1... WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005 CONVECTIVE SEASON. A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS) WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION. CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z |