Nov 22, 2005 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook Updated: Tue Nov 22 19:52:13 UTC 2005 Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table in HTML, or PDF formats.
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SPC AC 221949 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0149 PM CST TUE NOV 22 2005 VALID 222000Z - 231200Z GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE BID 15 WNW PSM 60 NNW AUG 60 NW CAR. ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...SYNOPSIS... HIGHLY-AMPLIFIED UPPER PATTERN WILL PERSIST THIS PERIOD...FEATURING A LARGE TROUGH OVER THE ERN CONUS. THOUGH STABLE CONTINENTAL AIRMASS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE COUNTRY PRECLUDING ANY THREAT FOR DEEP MOIST CONVECTION...ELEVATED NEUTRAL TO MINIMALLY-UNSTABLE LAYER ACROSS PARTS OF NEW ENGLAND MAY SUPPORT A FEW STRIKES EMBEDDED WITHIN LARGER PRECIPITATION AREA. ...ERN NEW ENGLAND... THREAT FOR A SMALL AMOUNT OF EMBEDDED LIGHTNING WILL REMAIN ACROSS ERN NEW ENGLAND AS MAIN SURFACE LOW OVER SERN NEW ENGLAND -- AND ASSOCIATED/SMALL-SCALE VORT MAX -- MOVES NWD ACROSS THIS REGION. HAVE NUDGED THUNDER AREA A BIT FURTHER WWD THIS FORECAST ACROSS NRN ME...AS SREF OUTPUT SUPPORTIVE OF THIS ADJUSTMENT IS FURTHER AUGMENTED BY CURRENT LOCATION OF UPPER VORT MAX AND SURFACE LOW -- BOTH SLIGHTLY W OF NAM FORECASTS ATTM. ..GOSS.. 11/22/2005 ...NOTICE... THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS: WMO HEADER: AWIPS ID: WUUS01 PTSDY1 WUUS02 PTSDY2 WUUS03 PTSDY3 A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS: WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z |