Dec 1, 2005 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Thu Dec 1 19:48:13 UTC 2005
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table in HTML, or PDF formats.
Categorical Graphic
20051201 2000 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20051201 2000 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20051201 2000 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20051201 2000 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
   SPC AC 011944
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0144 PM CST THU DEC 01 2005
   
   VALID 012000Z - 021200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNW UIL 25 SE UIL
   25 NW SLE 15 ENE OTH 50 SW OTH.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE BID 30 SSE PWM
   10 SE BGR 20 SSE HUL.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 WNW SFO 40 S UKI
   25 ESE UKI 50 S RBL 35 SE RBL 60 ESE RBL 45 W RNO 20 WNW TVL 45 S
   TVL 60 WNW BIH BIH 45 SSE BIH 45 NW NID 20 ENE BFL 15 SW BFL 30 NE
   SMX 35 SW PRB 60 WSW PRB 60 SSW MRY.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...NEW ENGLAND COASTAL WATERS...
   LITTLE CHANGE FROM MORNING THINKING. STRONG NEGATIVE-TILT SHORT WAVE
   TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE UPPER OH VALLEY WILL ENHANCE ONGOING
   FRONTAL WAVE INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEW ENGLAND COASTAL WATERS.
   RESULTING LOW WILL MOVE NNEWD ACROSS THE COAST OF MAINE THROUGH
   FRIDAY MORNING WITH THE CHANCE FOR SCATTERED TSTMS INCREASING NEAR
   AND EAST OF THE TRACK OF THE CYCLONE.
   
   ...CNTRL CA...
   EXTENSIVE PLUME OF PACIFIC MOISTURE CONTINUES TO SPREAD EWD ACROSS
   NRN/CNTRL CA TO THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. A SERIES OF SHORT WAVE
   PERTURBATIONS WERE AIDING WIDESPREAD CONVECTION WITHIN THE PLUME
   OVER THE PACIFIC EWD TO CNTRL CA COAST. POCKETS OF INSTABILITY AND
   STRONGER ASCENT WITHIN THE MOIST PLUME WILL CONTINUE TO FUEL WIDELY
   SCATTERED TSTMS PRIMARY NEAR THE COAST...BUT ALSO POSSIBLE INLAND TO
   THE WEST SLOPES OF THE SIERRA WHERE OROGRAPHIC FORCING WILL REMAIN
   STRONG.
   
   ...PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST...
   INTENSE DYNAMIC FORCING WILL ACCOMPANY SHORT WAVE TROUGH NOW
   CROSSING THE COAST. LOWERING STATIC STABILITY AND MOIST LOW LEVEL
   ONSHORE FLOW COULD SUPPORT A FEW TSTMS NEAR THE WA/ORE COAST OVER
   THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
   
   ..CARBIN.. 12/01/2005
   
   ...NOTICE...
   THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
   DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
   IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:
   
      WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
      WUUS01            PTSDY1
      WUUS02            PTSDY2
      WUUS03            PTSDY3
   
   A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
   ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
   WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
   WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z