Dec 1, 2005 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook Updated: Thu Dec 1 19:48:13 UTC 2005 Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table in HTML, or PDF formats.
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SPC AC 011944 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0144 PM CST THU DEC 01 2005 VALID 012000Z - 021200Z GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNW UIL 25 SE UIL 25 NW SLE 15 ENE OTH 50 SW OTH. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE BID 30 SSE PWM 10 SE BGR 20 SSE HUL. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 WNW SFO 40 S UKI 25 ESE UKI 50 S RBL 35 SE RBL 60 ESE RBL 45 W RNO 20 WNW TVL 45 S TVL 60 WNW BIH BIH 45 SSE BIH 45 NW NID 20 ENE BFL 15 SW BFL 30 NE SMX 35 SW PRB 60 WSW PRB 60 SSW MRY. ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...NEW ENGLAND COASTAL WATERS... LITTLE CHANGE FROM MORNING THINKING. STRONG NEGATIVE-TILT SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE UPPER OH VALLEY WILL ENHANCE ONGOING FRONTAL WAVE INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEW ENGLAND COASTAL WATERS. RESULTING LOW WILL MOVE NNEWD ACROSS THE COAST OF MAINE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING WITH THE CHANCE FOR SCATTERED TSTMS INCREASING NEAR AND EAST OF THE TRACK OF THE CYCLONE. ...CNTRL CA... EXTENSIVE PLUME OF PACIFIC MOISTURE CONTINUES TO SPREAD EWD ACROSS NRN/CNTRL CA TO THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. A SERIES OF SHORT WAVE PERTURBATIONS WERE AIDING WIDESPREAD CONVECTION WITHIN THE PLUME OVER THE PACIFIC EWD TO CNTRL CA COAST. POCKETS OF INSTABILITY AND STRONGER ASCENT WITHIN THE MOIST PLUME WILL CONTINUE TO FUEL WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS PRIMARY NEAR THE COAST...BUT ALSO POSSIBLE INLAND TO THE WEST SLOPES OF THE SIERRA WHERE OROGRAPHIC FORCING WILL REMAIN STRONG. ...PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST... INTENSE DYNAMIC FORCING WILL ACCOMPANY SHORT WAVE TROUGH NOW CROSSING THE COAST. LOWERING STATIC STABILITY AND MOIST LOW LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW COULD SUPPORT A FEW TSTMS NEAR THE WA/ORE COAST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. ..CARBIN.. 12/01/2005 ...NOTICE... THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS: WMO HEADER: AWIPS ID: WUUS01 PTSDY1 WUUS02 PTSDY2 WUUS03 PTSDY3 A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS: WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z |