Dec 2, 2005 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Dec 2 00:38:12 UTC 2005
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table in HTML, or PDF formats.
Categorical Graphic
20051202 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20051202 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20051202 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20051202 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
   SPC AC 020034
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0634 PM CST THU DEC 01 2005
   
   VALID 020100Z - 021200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 WNW UKI 35 NW UKI
   25 NNE UKI 40 NE UKI 50 SSE RBL 55 N SAC 40 NNE SAC 25 ENE SAC 30 NE
   SCK 30 NNE MER 30 E MER 10 NNE FAT 25 SE FAT 30 NNW BFL 15 WSW BFL
   45 SW BFL 25 NNW SBA 20 S VBG.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   BASICALLY ZONAL FLOW EXTENDS FROM OFF THE CENTRAL CA COAST ESEWD
   THRU THE SRN PLAINS INTO THE SERN STATES THIS EVENING. ONE WEAK
   TROUGH IS OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...WHILE ANOTHER IS OVER THE WRN
   GREAT LAKES EXTENDING ESEWD OVER THE DELMARVA REGION.  SURFACE
   FEATURES ARE A LOW OVER NRN OHIO WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SWWD
   THRU SERN LA INTO THE WRN GULF OF MEXICO.  MEANWHILE... ANOTHER COLD
   FRONT EXTENDS FROM A LOW WEST OF THE WA STATE COAST SEWD ALONG THE
   OREGON COAST THEN SWWD INTO THE PACIFIC.
   
   ...CENTRAL CA COAST INTO THE CENTRAL CA VALLEY...
   
   STRONG WLY FLOW EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC INTO THE CENTRAL CA
   COAST. THERE ARE SEVERAL MINOR SHORT WAVES EMBEDDED WITHIN THIS
   FLOW ACCOMPANIED BY THERMAL TROUGHS THAT KEEP THIS AREA SLIGHTLY
   UNSTABLE.  IN ADDITION...THE AREA IS UNDERNEATH EXIT REGION OF UPPER
   LEVEL JET OF 120 KT ENHANCING DEEP LAYER SHEAR TO NEAR 35 KT. WITH
   COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING ONSHORE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...ISOLATED
   THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE PERIOD
   AND SPREADING INTO PART OF THE VALLEY EARLY TONIGHT.
   
   ELSEWHERE...LACK OF SUFFICIENT MOISTURE/INSTABILITY WILL INHIBIT
   THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.
   
   ..MCCARTHY.. 12/02/2005
   
   ...NOTICE...
   THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
   DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
   IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:
   
      WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
      WUUS01            PTSDY1
      WUUS02            PTSDY2
      WUUS03            PTSDY3
   
   A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
   ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
   WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
   WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z