Dec 2, 2005 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook Updated: Fri Dec 2 00:38:12 UTC 2005 Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table in HTML, or PDF formats.
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SPC AC 020034 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0634 PM CST THU DEC 01 2005 VALID 020100Z - 021200Z GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 WNW UKI 35 NW UKI 25 NNE UKI 40 NE UKI 50 SSE RBL 55 N SAC 40 NNE SAC 25 ENE SAC 30 NE SCK 30 NNE MER 30 E MER 10 NNE FAT 25 SE FAT 30 NNW BFL 15 WSW BFL 45 SW BFL 25 NNW SBA 20 S VBG. ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...SYNOPSIS... BASICALLY ZONAL FLOW EXTENDS FROM OFF THE CENTRAL CA COAST ESEWD THRU THE SRN PLAINS INTO THE SERN STATES THIS EVENING. ONE WEAK TROUGH IS OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...WHILE ANOTHER IS OVER THE WRN GREAT LAKES EXTENDING ESEWD OVER THE DELMARVA REGION. SURFACE FEATURES ARE A LOW OVER NRN OHIO WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SWWD THRU SERN LA INTO THE WRN GULF OF MEXICO. MEANWHILE... ANOTHER COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM A LOW WEST OF THE WA STATE COAST SEWD ALONG THE OREGON COAST THEN SWWD INTO THE PACIFIC. ...CENTRAL CA COAST INTO THE CENTRAL CA VALLEY... STRONG WLY FLOW EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC INTO THE CENTRAL CA COAST. THERE ARE SEVERAL MINOR SHORT WAVES EMBEDDED WITHIN THIS FLOW ACCOMPANIED BY THERMAL TROUGHS THAT KEEP THIS AREA SLIGHTLY UNSTABLE. IN ADDITION...THE AREA IS UNDERNEATH EXIT REGION OF UPPER LEVEL JET OF 120 KT ENHANCING DEEP LAYER SHEAR TO NEAR 35 KT. WITH COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING ONSHORE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE PERIOD AND SPREADING INTO PART OF THE VALLEY EARLY TONIGHT. ELSEWHERE...LACK OF SUFFICIENT MOISTURE/INSTABILITY WILL INHIBIT THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. ..MCCARTHY.. 12/02/2005 ...NOTICE... THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS: WMO HEADER: AWIPS ID: WUUS01 PTSDY1 WUUS02 PTSDY2 WUUS03 PTSDY3 A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS: WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z |