Dec 8, 2005 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Thu Dec 8 00:44:13 UTC 2005
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table in HTML, or PDF formats.
Categorical Graphic
20051208 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20051208 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20051208 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20051208 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
   SPC AC 080040
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0640 PM CST WED DEC 07 2005
   
   VALID 080100Z - 081200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE PSX 35 N GLS 35
   SW POE 35 SSE ESF MCB 15 NNE MOB PFN 15 NNW AAF 35 SE AAF.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   CLOSED LOW ALOFT...LOCATED NORTH OF GLD...IS FORECAST TO MOVE EWD
   ALONG THE KS/NEB BORDER OVERNIGHT. IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS SYSTEM
   ...STRONG LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION SHOULD GENERATE WIDESPREAD 
   PRECIPITATION FROM ERN TX/LOWER MS VALLEY NWD INTO THE MID MS VALLEY
   AND THE WRN PORTIONS OF THE OH VALLEY. THE LACK OF INSTABILITY
   SHOULD PRECLUDE LIGHTNING ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION.
   
   THE EXCEPTION MAY BE FROM SERN TX EWD ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF
   COAST...WHERE THE EVENING SOUNDING AT CRP AND OVERNIGHT FORECAST
   SOUNDINGS SHOW WEAK ELEVATED CAPE. AN INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH...
   CURRENTLY LOCATED FROM HOU TO FSM...WILL SHIFT EWD TONIGHT WITH A
   WEAK SURFACE LOW FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG A STATIONARY FRONT IN THE
   GULF SOUTH OF LA. THIS MAY RESULT IN A LITTLE MORE THUNDER COVERAGE
   ACROSS SERN LA THAN ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE THUNDER AREA.
   
   CONVECTION OVER THE ERN GULF IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES EWD
   INTO A MORE STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER LOCATED ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA.
   
   ..IMY.. 12/08/2005
   
   ...NOTICE...
   THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
   DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
   IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:
   
      WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
      WUUS01            PTSDY1
      WUUS02            PTSDY2
      WUUS03            PTSDY3
   
   A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
   ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
   WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
   WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z