Dec 8, 2005 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook Updated: Thu Dec 8 00:44:13 UTC 2005 Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table in HTML, or PDF formats.
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SPC AC 080040 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0640 PM CST WED DEC 07 2005 VALID 080100Z - 081200Z GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE PSX 35 N GLS 35 SW POE 35 SSE ESF MCB 15 NNE MOB PFN 15 NNW AAF 35 SE AAF. ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... CLOSED LOW ALOFT...LOCATED NORTH OF GLD...IS FORECAST TO MOVE EWD ALONG THE KS/NEB BORDER OVERNIGHT. IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS SYSTEM ...STRONG LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION SHOULD GENERATE WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION FROM ERN TX/LOWER MS VALLEY NWD INTO THE MID MS VALLEY AND THE WRN PORTIONS OF THE OH VALLEY. THE LACK OF INSTABILITY SHOULD PRECLUDE LIGHTNING ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. THE EXCEPTION MAY BE FROM SERN TX EWD ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF COAST...WHERE THE EVENING SOUNDING AT CRP AND OVERNIGHT FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW WEAK ELEVATED CAPE. AN INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH... CURRENTLY LOCATED FROM HOU TO FSM...WILL SHIFT EWD TONIGHT WITH A WEAK SURFACE LOW FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG A STATIONARY FRONT IN THE GULF SOUTH OF LA. THIS MAY RESULT IN A LITTLE MORE THUNDER COVERAGE ACROSS SERN LA THAN ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE THUNDER AREA. CONVECTION OVER THE ERN GULF IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES EWD INTO A MORE STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER LOCATED ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA. ..IMY.. 12/08/2005 ...NOTICE... THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS: WMO HEADER: AWIPS ID: WUUS01 PTSDY1 WUUS02 PTSDY2 WUUS03 PTSDY3 A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS: WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z |