Jan-10-2005 0800 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Jan 10 08:48:34 UTC 2005
Categorical Graphic
20050110 0800 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Probablistic Graphic
20050110 0800 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
   SPC AC 100845
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0245 AM CST MON JAN 10 2005
   
   VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE GLH 20 WNW PBF
   20 E FSM 15 SW JLN 50 SW SZL 30 NW COU 45 NE FWA 45 N CLE 20 NNE ERI
   JHW 25 W BFD 35 SW DUJ 25 ESE UNI 25 N CSV 15 SW MSL 20 SW TUP 35
   NNE GLH.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW UKI 40 NE SAC
   45 NNE TPH 40 WNW CDC 35 SSW PGA 15 W INW 70 SW SOW 40 WSW FHU.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   CORRECTED TO CHANGE WORDING IN THE LAST SENTENCE
   
   AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL DEEPEN AND DIG SEWD ACROSS THE SWRN
   STATES ON DAY 2. STRONG LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AND STEEP LAPSE RATES
   SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CA...SRN NV
   AND WRN AZ. STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES MAY BE ENOUGH FOR
   ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. WEAK
   INSTABILITY SHOULD KEEP ANY SEVERE ACTIVITY VERY ISOLATED.
   
   ELSEWHERE...BROAD ZONAL FLOW AT THE MID-LEVELS WILL BE IN PLACE
   ACROSS THE CONUS. AS HEIGHTS FALL ACROSS THE MS VALLEY...MOISTURE
   ADVECTION WILL STRENGTHEN. STRONG LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL
   JET ACCOMPANIED BY ASCENT DUE TO A SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM
   THE SOUTHWEST...SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
   THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE MID MS VALLEY AND OH VALLEY BY TUESDAY
   AFTERNOON. VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES AND INSTABILITY WILL BE MARGINAL
   FOR SEVERE STORMS. HOWEVER...0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES 35 TO 40 KT AND
   STEEP LOWER TO MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES NEAR 7.0 C/KM MAY BE ENOUGH FOR
   A FEW SEVERE STORMS MAINLY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EARLY
   EVENING HOURS.
   
   ..BROYLES.. 01/10/2005
   
   ...NOTICE...
   FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
   LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
   GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
   HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
   INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z