SPC AC 090608
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1208 AM CST WED MAR 09 2005
VALID 101200Z - 111200Z.
...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS AND DISCUSSION...
SERIES OF VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE TROUGHS DIVING SEWD OUT OF CNTRL CANADA
WILL LEAD TO AN INTENSIFICATION OF LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER ERN
TWO-THIRDS OF THE NATION THURSDAY/THURSDAY NIGHT. IN THE W...RIDGING
WILL PERSIST FROM THE CANADIAN ROCKIES INTO THE ERN PACIFIC. AT THE
SURFACE...LOW ATTENDANT TO LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE UPPER MS
VALLEY AT 10/12Z WILL DEVELOP SEWD ACROSS THE OH VALLEY WITH
TRAILING COLD FRONT PUSHING SWD THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS AND CNTRL
GULF COAST STATES.
RELATIVELY DRY AIR MASS /DEWPOINTS COMMONLY IN THE 30S AND 40S/
CURRENTLY EXISTS ALONG GULF COAST IN WAKE OF INITIAL COLD FRONT THAT
HAS PUSHED WELL INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. ADDITIONAL LOW-LEVEL DRYING
WILL LIKELY OCCUR LATER TODAY INTO TONIGHT WITH PASSAGE OF SECONDARY
COLD FRONT NOW OVER THE SRN PLAINS. GIVEN THESE ANTECEDENT FRONTAL
INTRUSIONS INTO THE NWRN GULF...IT APPEARS AIR MASS AHEAD OF
AFOREMENTIONED DAY 2 FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY DRY AND
STABLE.
POTENTIAL FOR A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL EXIST THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING OVER CNTRL HIGH PLAINS WHERE STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES AND FRONTAL FORCING MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO INITIATE AN ISOLATED
STORM. AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT
OVER THE OH/TN VALLEYS WHERE REGION OF STRONGEST DEEP-LAYER FORCING
ASSOCIATED WITH LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVERSPREADS COLD FRONT.
ANTICIPATED TSTM COVERAGE ACROSS THESE TWO AREAS APPEARS TOO LIMITED
ATTM TO WARRANT INCLUSION OF GENERAL THUNDER AREA.
..MEAD.. 03/09/2005
...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z
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