SPC AC 280615
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0115 AM CDT THU JUL 28 2005
   
   VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM CZZ 30 W PMD 45 SSW
   FAT 25 NW TVL 40 SSE MHS CEC 40 SE EUG 20 WNW MSO 20 WNW LWT 20 NE
   SHR 45 ENE 81V 25 E MLS 70 NNE OLF.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE CMX 40 NW RHI
   15 SSW MCW 10 E OMA 55 ENE HLC 25 NNE DDC 55 WSW TCC 10 NNW DMN 40
   SSW DMN.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 WNW MRF 55 SE GDP
   10 SSE SJT 15 SSE TPL 50 ENE ACT 30 NNW TYR 25 S TXK 40 N MLU 15 S
   MEM 35 SSW CKV 35 ENE BWG 30 NNW LOZ 10 NE CRW 10 SE MGW PSB 25 S
   BGM 15 WSW PSF BOS.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   MID-LEVEL TROUGH WILL PERSIST OVER THE ERN CONUS THIS PERIOD...BUT
   SHOULD WEAKEN SOMEWHAT WHILE SHIFTING EWD.  MEANWHILE...RIDGE
   CENTERED OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION WILL EXPAND WITH TIME.
   
   SMALL-SCALE VORTICITY MAXIMA ROTATING ANTICYCLONICALLY AROUND UPPER
   RIDGE SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ACROSS PARTS OF
   THE WEST -- PARTICULARLY OVER PARTS OF SRN AZ / CA...FROM ORE EWD
   SRN ID / THE NRN GREAT BASIN INTO SWRN MT / WRN WY...AND PERHAPS
   OVER SRN PORTIONS OF THE CANADIAN PRAIRIE SEWD INTO THE UPPER MS
   VALLEY.
   
   AT THE SURFACE...MAIN FEATURE WILL BE THE REMNANT BOUNDARY OVER THE
   ATLANTIC COAST STATES...WHICH SHOULD REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY THROUGH
   THE PERIOD.
   
   ...MID-ATLANTIC REGION SWD INTO PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS...
   THOUGH WIDESPREAD CONVECTION IS EXPECTED INVOF REMNANT FRONT THIS
   PERIOD...STRONGER MID-LEVEL FLOW SHOULD BE SUPPRESSED WELL N OF
   SURFACE BOUNDARY.  HOWEVER...WITH LOW-LEVEL ELYS FORECAST ACROSS
   PARTS OF VA / NC JUST N OF BOUNDARY AND 10 TO 15 KT WLYS AT
   MID-LEVELS...A FEW MULTICELL CLUSTERS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MARGINAL
   HAIL / LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS MAY BE POSSIBLE -- MAINLY DURING THE
   AFTERNOON / EARLY EVENING.
   
   ...SRN AZ...
   SCATTERED TO ISOLATED STORMS SHOULD DEVELOP ACROSS SRN AZ THIS
   PERIOD...AS AIRMASS DESTABILIZES IN CONJUNCTION WITH DAYTIME
   HEATING.  WITH SMALL BELT OF 25 KT ELY MID-LEVEL FLOW EXPECTED
   ACROSS SRN AZ S OF UPPER HIGH CENTER...A FEW STRONGER STORMS CAPABLE
   OF PRODUCING LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS APPEAR POSSIBLE.
   
   ...PARTS OF ORE EWD INTO SWRN MT / WRN WY...
   STORMS SHOULD DEVELOP ACROSS THIS REGION DURING THE
   AFTERNOON...AIDED BY WEAK FEATURES ALOFT ROTATING ANTICYCLONICALLY
   AROUND UPPER HIGH.  WITH MODERATE MID-LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THIS REGION
   N OF RIDGE...A FEW STRONGER STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MARGINAL
   HAIL / LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
   
   ...NERN ND / NRN MN...
   AIRMASS SHOULD REMAIN CAPPED ACROSS MOST THE PLAINS THROUGH THE
   PERIOD...THUS SUPPRESSING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT TO A GREAT DEGREE. 
   HOWEVER...STORMS MAY MOVE SEWD OUT OF THE CANADIAN PRAIRIE INTO THE
   NRN PLAINS / UPPER MS VALLEY DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE
   PERIOD...AIDED BY WARM ADVECTION / SWLY LOW-LEVEL JET. WITH STORMS
   EXPECTED TO REMAIN ISOLATED AND ELEVATED...ANY SEVERE THREAT SHOULD
   BE CONFINED TO A FEW MARGINAL HAIL EVENTS.
   
   ..GOSS.. 07/28/2005
   
   ...NOTICE...
   THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
   SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
   WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
   IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
   CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
   WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z