Oct 26, 2005 0800 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook Updated: Wed Oct 26 05:27:39 UTC 2005 Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table in HTML, or PDF formats.
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SPC AC 260525 DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1225 AM CDT WED OCT 26 2005 VALID 271200Z - 281200Z GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSW P07 30 N MRF 40 W CNM 45 N ROW 30 NNW CVS 40 W CDS 65 N ABI 55 ENE JCT 45 N NIR 40 SSE PSX. ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...TX... LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES THE TREND OF SRN ROCKIES UPPER TROUGH DIGGING SEWD BENEATH PLAINS RIDGE TOWARD THE NWRN GULF OF MEXICO BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. THIS FEATURE WILL ENHANCE WARM ADVECTION DOWNSTREAM ATOP COOL/STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER AIRMASS ENTRENCHED OVER TX. IT APPEARS EARLIER NAM GUIDANCE WAS TOO AGGRESSIVE IN BOUNDARY LAYER MODIFICATION OVER DEEP SOUTH TX WITH LATEST DATA AND OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS SUPPORTING THE IDEA OF SFC RIDGE AXIS REMAINING ALONG THE TX COAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. ANY DESTABILIZATION INLAND WILL BE MEAGER AT BEST...BUT LIKELY SUFFICIENT FOR ISOLATED-SCT THUNDERSTORMS SPREADING/DEVELOPING SEWD IN RESPONSE TO GREATEST ZONE OF ASCENT. ..DARROW.. 10/26/2005 ...NOTICE... THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1... WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005 CONVECTIVE SEASON. A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS) WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION. CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z |