Apr- 7-2005 1100 UTC Day 3 Convective Outlook
Updated: Thu Apr 7 07:05:42 UTC 2005
Categorical Graphic
20050407 1100 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20050407 1100 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
   SPC AC 070704
   
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0204 AM CDT THU APR 07 2005
   
   VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...CENTRAL PLAINS...
   
   LATE EVENING MODEL GUIDANCE APPEARS REASONABLY CONSISTENT WITH
   EARLIER RUNS DEPICTING A STRONG UPPER SPEED MAX AND ASSOCIATED LOW
   DIGGING SEWD ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN TO A POSITION OVER NRN NM BY THE
   END OF THE DAY3 PERIOD.  EXIT REGION OF EJECTING SPEED MAX SHOULD
   ENHANCE CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL OVER THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS AFTER
   10/00Z.  LOW LEVEL TRAJECTORIES WILL BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR
   TRANSPORTING MODIFIED MOISTURE INTO THIS REGION THUS STRONG TO
   PERHAPS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP ACROSS ERN CO INTO WRN
   KS.  IF UPPER TROUGH SLOWS AND DIGS FARTHER SOUTH...WHICH IS A
   VIABLE SCENARIO...PROBABILITIES FOR SEVERE STORMS MAY NEED TO BE
   ADJUSTED INTO PORTIONS OF THE TX/OK PANHANDLES.
   
   ..DARROW.. 04/07/2005
   
   ...NOTICE...
   THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
   SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
   WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
   IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
   CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
   WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1100Z