Apr- 7-2005 1100 UTC Day 3 Convective Outlook Updated: Thu Apr 7 07:05:42 UTC 2005
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SPC AC 070704 DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0204 AM CDT THU APR 07 2005 VALID 091200Z - 101200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...CENTRAL PLAINS... LATE EVENING MODEL GUIDANCE APPEARS REASONABLY CONSISTENT WITH EARLIER RUNS DEPICTING A STRONG UPPER SPEED MAX AND ASSOCIATED LOW DIGGING SEWD ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN TO A POSITION OVER NRN NM BY THE END OF THE DAY3 PERIOD. EXIT REGION OF EJECTING SPEED MAX SHOULD ENHANCE CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL OVER THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS AFTER 10/00Z. LOW LEVEL TRAJECTORIES WILL BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR TRANSPORTING MODIFIED MOISTURE INTO THIS REGION THUS STRONG TO PERHAPS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP ACROSS ERN CO INTO WRN KS. IF UPPER TROUGH SLOWS AND DIGS FARTHER SOUTH...WHICH IS A VIABLE SCENARIO...PROBABILITIES FOR SEVERE STORMS MAY NEED TO BE ADJUSTED INTO PORTIONS OF THE TX/OK PANHANDLES. ..DARROW.. 04/07/2005 ...NOTICE... THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1... WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005 CONVECTIVE SEASON. A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS) WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION. CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1100Z |