SPC AC 090709
   
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0209 AM CDT SAT JUL 09 2005
   
   VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...OH VALLEY...
   THE LATEST GUIDANCE FROM THE HURRICANE CENTER MOVES THE REMNANTS OF
   HURRICANE DENNIS ACROSS MS INTO THE MID MS-VALLEY BY MONDAY
   AFTERNOON. EAST OF THE CENTER...LOW-LEVEL SHEAR PROFILES SHOULD BE
   STRONG ENOUGH FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT MAINLY MONDAY AFTERNOON
   AND EVENING ACROSS MOST OF THE OH VALLEY. THE TORNADO THREAT SHOULD
   DEPEND ON THE STRENGTH OF DENNIS AND THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY THAT
   DEVELOPS AHEAD OF RAINBANDS THAT MOVE NWD ACROSS THE REGION.
   
   ...NRN AND CNTRL PLAINS...
   SW FLOW ALOFT IS FORECAST TO REMAIN ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS AS A
   SHORTWAVE MOVES EWD AWAY FROM THE REGION MONDAY. A FRONT SHOULD BE
   POSITIONED FROM MN DRAPING SWWD ACROSS ERN SD AND NRN NEB.
   CONVECTION WILL PROBABLY DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT DURING THE
   AFTERNOON HOWEVER UNCERTAINTY EXISTS CONCERNING CONVECTIVE COVERAGE.
   FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY SHOW PLENTY OF
   INSTABILITY WITH MODERATE DEEP LAYER SHEAR IN PLACE SUGGESTING
   SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...STORM COVERAGE MAY REMAIN
   ISOLATED DUE TO SUBSIDENCE IN THE WAKE OF THE EXITING SHORTWAVE
   TROUGH. FOR THIS REASON...WILL NOT INTRODUCE A SLIGHT RISK ATTM
   ACROSS THE REGION. IF THE SHORTWAVE ENDS UP BEING SLOWER THAN
   FORECAST...A SLIGHT RISK MAY BECOME NECESSARY IN LATER OUTLOOKS.
   
   ..BROYLES.. 07/09/2005
   
   ...NOTICE...
   THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
   SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
   WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
   IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
   CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
   WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1100Z