SPC AC 240713
   
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0113 AM CST THU NOV 24 2005
   
   VALID 261200Z - 271200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   GFS AND NAM ARE SIMILAR IN DEPICTING COMPACT SHORT WAVE TROUGH
   EJECTING NEWD ACROSS THE NWRN GULF COAST FROM TX TO LA ON SATURDAY.
   THIS LEAD IMPULSE ACCELERATES AND DEAMPLIFIES AHEAD OF A LARGER AND
   MORE VIGOROUS TROUGH THAT STARTS ON THE WEST COAST EARLY IN THE
   PERIOD AND DIGS ESEWD ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS AREA THROUGH SUNDAY
   MORNING. THE WRN TROUGH WILL INDUCE LEE-SIDE CYCLOGENESIS OVER ERN
   CO BY SATURDAY EVENING WHILE THE LEAD IMPULSE ENHANCES ISENTROPIC
   ASCENT OVER AN EXPANDING AREA FROM THE GULF COAST TO THE MIDWEST.
   
   ...TX/LA GULF COAST...
   STRONG ASCENT WILL BE FOCUSED ALONG AND NORTH OF RETREATING WARM
   FRONT OVER THE NWRN GULF COAST AS DEAMPLIFYING UPPER WAVE MOVES
   ACROSS THE REGION. AS IS OFTEN THE CASE...THERE IS CONSIDERABLE
   UNCERTAINTY REGARDING BOTH THE QUALITY OF RETURN MOISTURE AND EXTENT
   OF INLAND WARM SECTOR PENETRATION. GIVEN POTENTIAL FOR INCREASING
   PRECIPITATION INTO COOL/STABLE LOW LEVEL AIR MASS AHEAD OF THE UPPER
   WAVE AND NORTH OF THE FRONT...INLAND SURFACE-BASED DESTABILIZATION
   MAY BE DIFFICULT TO ACHIEVE. NONETHELESS...POTENTIALLY STRONG
   DYNAMICS WITH THIS SYSTEM MAY OVERCOME AIR MASS LIMITATIONS TO
   SUPPORT A COUPLE OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS IN EITHER LINE SEGMENTS
   OR EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS. IF WARM SECTOR CAN DEVELOP INLAND WITH
   STRONGER INSTABILITY...THE CHANCE FOR ORGANIZED/ROTATING CELLS
   TRACKING EAST ALONG THE FRONT WILL INCREASE AND HIGHER SEVERE
   PROBABILITIES WOULD NEED TO BE INCLUDED IN LATER OUTLOOKS.
   
   ..CARBIN.. 11/24/2005
   
   ...NOTICE...
   THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
   DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
   IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:
   
      WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
      WUUS01            PTSDY1
      WUUS02            PTSDY2
      WUUS03            PTSDY3
   
   A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
   ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
   WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
   WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1100Z