ZCZC SPCPWOSPC ALL
   WOUS40 KWNS 031633
   KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-040030-
   
   PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1133 AM CDT SUN JUL 03 2005
   
   VALID 031633Z - 040030Z
   
   ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND
   SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS TODAY AND TONIGHT.
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
   DEVELOPMENT OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS OVER PARTS OF THE
   CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
   
   THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE
   
          WESTERN KANSAS
          NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA ...INCLUDING THE PANHANDLE
          NORTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
   
   SURROUNDING THE MODERATE RISK AREA...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES INTO WESTERN
   TEXAS.
   
   AN UPPER-AIR DISTURBANCE OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES THIS MORNING IS
   EXPECTED TO PROGRESS EAST TODAY...EVENTUALLY SHIFTING INTO THE
   CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT. MEANWHILE...AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL 
   PUSH SOUTHEAST ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS TOWARD A PERSISTENT AREA OF LOW
   PRESSURE OVER FAR SOUTHWEST KANSAS INTO THE OKLAHOMA AND NORTHERN
   TEXAS PANHANDLES.
   
   WITH THE APPROACH OF THE UPPER-AIR DISTURBANCE FROM THE
   WEST...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED LATER THIS
   AFTERNOON INTO EVENING ALONG THE COLD FRONT AND POSSIBLY AN OUTFLOW
   BOUNDARY OVER WESTERN KANSAS...WHERE THE AIR MASS IS EXPECTED TO
   BECOME MODERATELY TO VERY UNSTABLE. INCREASING WIND SHEAR COUPLED
   WITH THE STRONG INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED...SEVERE STORMS
   CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. WITH
   TIME...THUNDERSTORMS MAY MERGE INTO A LARGE COMPLEX WITH PRIMARILY A
   DAMAGING WIND THREAT SPREADING SOUTHEASTWARD INTO PORTIONS OF
   NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND THE NORTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE.
   
   THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER
   SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER
   RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY.
   
   ..MEAD/EVANS.. 07/03/2005
   
   $$