Mar 22, 2006 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Mar 22 12:46:14 UTC 2006
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20060322 1300 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20060322 1300 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20060322 1300 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20060322 1300 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
   SPC AC 221242
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0642 AM CST WED MAR 22 2006
   
   VALID 221300Z - 231200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   THE MAJORITY OF THE CONUS WILL BE DRY/STABLE TODAY AS A RESULT OF
   OFFSHORE FLOW ACROSS THE ATLANTIC AND GULF COASTS...AND A MID LEVEL
   RIDGE OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST.  OTHERWISE...A MID LEVEL
   SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE SLIGHTLY S OF E FROM WRN NM THIS MORNING
   TO N TX AND OK OVERNIGHT.
   
   A CORE OF STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL ACCOMPANY THE MID LEVEL TROUGH
   ACROSS NM TODAY...WHERE SURFACE HEATING MAY CONTRIBUTE TO SUFFICIENT
   INSTABILITY FOR AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM THREAT.  FARTHER SE...WAA
   AND WEAK INSTABILITY BASED NEAR 700 MB COULD SUPPORT ISOLATED
   ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE NW GULF COAST TODAY INTO TONIGHT. 
   THE COVERAGE OF DEEP CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO BE RATHER SPARSE IN
   BOTH OUTLOOK AREAS.
   
   ..THOMPSON/CROSBIE.. 03/22/2006
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z