Mar 22, 2006 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook Updated: Wed Mar 22 12:46:14 UTC 2006 Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
|
|||||||||||
SPC AC 221242 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0642 AM CST WED MAR 22 2006 VALID 221300Z - 231200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...SYNOPSIS... THE MAJORITY OF THE CONUS WILL BE DRY/STABLE TODAY AS A RESULT OF OFFSHORE FLOW ACROSS THE ATLANTIC AND GULF COASTS...AND A MID LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. OTHERWISE...A MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE SLIGHTLY S OF E FROM WRN NM THIS MORNING TO N TX AND OK OVERNIGHT. A CORE OF STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL ACCOMPANY THE MID LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS NM TODAY...WHERE SURFACE HEATING MAY CONTRIBUTE TO SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY FOR AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM THREAT. FARTHER SE...WAA AND WEAK INSTABILITY BASED NEAR 700 MB COULD SUPPORT ISOLATED ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE NW GULF COAST TODAY INTO TONIGHT. THE COVERAGE OF DEEP CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO BE RATHER SPARSE IN BOTH OUTLOOK AREAS. ..THOMPSON/CROSBIE.. 03/22/2006 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z |