Oct 29, 2006 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sun Oct 29 00:30:14 UTC 2006
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20061029 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20061029 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20061029 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20061029 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
   SPC AC 290026
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0726 PM CDT SAT OCT 28 2006
   
   VALID 290100Z - 291200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...ERN GREAT LAKES AREA...
   
   VERY COLD AIR IN THE 850-500 MB LAYER ACCOMPANYING A NEGATIVELY
   TILTED UPPER TROUGH HAS SPREAD SEWD THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION
   CONTRIBUTING TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LAKE EFFECT CONVECTIVE BANDS.
   MOST OF THE LIGHTNING ACTIVITY HAS BEEN WITH BANDS SPREADING SEWD
   OFF OF LAKE ERIE ACROSS ERN OH AND WRN PA. ISOLATED SEVERE WIND
   GUSTS WERE REPORTED ACROSS NERN OH EARLIER THIS EVENING WHERE 50 KT
   FLOW JUST OFF THE SURFACE WAS APPARENTLY TRANSPORTED DOWNWARD WITHIN
   THE HEAVIER SHOWERS. HOWEVER...ANY REMAINING THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH
   THIS EVENING. 
   
   ...DEL THROUGH SRN MAINE...
   
   ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY CONTINUE NEXT COUPLE HOURS MAINLY
   WITH CONVECTIVE BAND ALONG COLD FRONT AS IT MOVES ACROSS EXTREME ERN
   DEL INTO SRN ME...AND POSSIBLY WITH MORE ELEVATED ACTIVITY FARTHER N
   AS MID LEVEL THERMAL TROUGH LIFTS NEWD.
   
   ..DIAL.. 10/29/2006
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z