Dec 10, 2006 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sun Dec 10 05:24:10 UTC 2006
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20061210 1200 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20061210 1200 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20061210 1200 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20061210 1200 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
   SPC AC 100519
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1119 PM CST SAT DEC 09 2006
   
   VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...CNTRL CA...
   THE MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ASHORE CNTRL/NRN CA EARLY
   SUNDAY MORNING WILL QUICKLY TRANSLATE EWD INTO THE INTERMOUNTAIN
   WEST BY MID-DAY.  H5 TEMPERATURES IN THE MID-MINUS 20S ATOP A PLUME
   OF MODEST PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR EARLY DAY
   TSTMS IN THE BAY AREA AND PARTS OF THE CNTRL VLY.  THE TSTM
   PROBABILITY WILL DECREASE DURING THE AFTN AS WARMING
   ALOFT/REBOUNDING HEIGHTS OCCUR IN WAKE OF THE WAVE.  
   
   ...GREAT BASIN/FOUR CORNERS REGION...
   THE MID-LEVEL WAVE MOVING INTO CNTRL/NRN CA WILL ARRIVE ACROSS THE
   GREAT BASIN AND FOUR-CORNERS REGION BY SUNDAY AFTN.  STEEPENING
   MID-TROPOSPHERIC LAPSE RATES AND MODEST LARGE SCALE ASCENT MAY BE
   SUFFICIENT FOR ISOLD LIGHTNING STRIKES FROM CNTRL/SRN UT AND NRN AZ
   EWD INTO SWRN CO...PRIMARILY BETWEEN 15-03Z.
   
   ..RACY.. 12/10/2006
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z