Jan 7, 2006 0800 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook Updated: Sat Jan 7 05:52:44 UTC 2006 Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table in HTML, or PDF formats.
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SPC AC 070541 DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1141 PM CST FRI JAN 06 2006 VALID 081200Z - 091200Z. ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...SYNOPSIS... UPPER PATTERN WILL TRANSITION TO ZONAL BY SUNDAY. WITHIN THIS REGIME...THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW OFF THE W COAST WILL DEAMPLIFY AND CONTINUE EWD THROUGH THE NRN ROCKIES...REACHING THE CNTRL PLAINS BY EARLY SUNDAY. LEE CYCLOGENESIS WILL ACCOMPANY THIS FEATURE. THE LEE CYCLONE AND ATTENDANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL WEAKEN AND SHIFT ENEWD THROUGH THE MID MS AND OH VALLEYS SUNDAY. CURRENT OFFSHORE FLOW WILL TRANSITION TO SWLY SATURDAY AND PERSIST INTO SUNDAY AS THE LEE CYCLONE MOVES WELL N OF THE GULF COAST. RECENT INTRUSION OF DRY AIR INTO THE GULF FOLLOWED BY A SWLY LOW LEVEL FLOW REGIME WILL BE UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT GULF MOISTURE RETURN. CONVECTION MAY ACCOMPANY AN UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE NRN ROCKIES SUNDAY AND N CNTRL PLAINS SUNDAY NIGHT. LIMITED MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY SUGGEST THUNDERSTORM PROBABILITIES SHOULD REMAIN LOW WITH THIS ACTIVITY. ..DIAL.. 01/07/2006 ...NOTICE... THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS: WMO HEADER: AWIPS ID: WUUS01 PTSDY1 WUUS02 PTSDY2 WUUS03 PTSDY3 A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS: WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z |