Jan 10, 2006 0800 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Jan 10 05:31:36 UTC 2006
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table in HTML, or PDF formats.
Categorical Graphic
20060110 0800 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20060110 0800 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
   SPC AC 100529
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1129 PM CST MON JAN 09 2006
   
   VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 NNW ERI 20 NNE DUJ
   40 NNW BWI 10 NNW NHK 30 SE RIC 25 NE RDU 25 N AGS MAI 15 NE CEW 25
   NE GZH 30 S ANB 20 NE RMG TYS 30 E JKL 10 NW HTS 20 WSW CMH 25 NE
   FDY 20 NE MTC.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 115 NNE 63S 20 NE ALW
   70 ENE RDM 50 NE MFR 25 NNW 4BK.
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...PACIFIC NW...
   
   ANOTHER IN A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL BEGIN TO AMPLIFY OVER
   THE PACIFIC NW. STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ATTENDING THE THERMAL
   TROUGH AND LARGE SCALE ASCENT AUGMENTED BY OROGRAPHIC LIFT WILL
   SUPPORT AREAS OF CONVECTION CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED LIGHTING
   STRIKES DURING THE DAY. 
   
   
   ...SERN U.S THROUGH MID ATLANTIC AND OH VALLEY...
   
   AREAS OF CONVECTION SHOULD BE ONGOING EARLY WEDNESDAY WITHIN
   PRE-FRONTAL ZONE OF ASCENT FROM PARTS OF THE SERN STATES NWD INTO
   THE OH VALLEY. ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH
   SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY. THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL EJECT NEWD THROUGH
   THE OH VALLEY AND NERN U.S. DURING THE DAY...BECOMING INCREASINGLY
   DISJOINTED FROM THE HIGHER BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE OVER THE SERN
   STATES. RISING HEIGHTS AND MID LEVEL SUBSIDENCE SHOULD GRADUALLY
   SPREAD EWD INTO THE SERN STATES IN WAKE OF THIS FEATURE AND RESULT
   IN A DECREASE IN OVERALL CONVECTIVE COVERAGE DURING THE AFTERNOON.
   CONVECTION WILL LIKELY PERSIST FARTHER NWD WITHIN ZONE OF ASCENT
   ATTENDING THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH INTO PARTS OF THE UPPER OH
   VALLEY...MID ATLANTIC AND NERN STATES INTO THE AFTERNOON. SUFFICIENT
   INSTABILITY MAY DEVELOP OVER THE OH UPPER VALLEY FOR ISOLATED
   LIGHTNING STRIKES WHERE THE THERMAL TROUGH INTERSECTS THE LOW LEVEL
   MOIST AXIS AND ESPECIALLY IF ANY SURFACE HEATING DEVELOPS.
   
   ..DIAL.. 01/10/2006
   
   ...NOTICE...
   THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
   DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
   IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:
   
      WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
      WUUS01            PTSDY1
      WUUS02            PTSDY2
      WUUS03            PTSDY3
   
   A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
   ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
   WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
   WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z