SPC AC 310549
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1149 PM CST MON JAN 30 2006
   
   VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
   
   THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE
   PSX 40 NNE VCT 15 W CLL 35 NNW UTS 15 SSE IER 40 WSW GZH 20 ESE CEW
   50 SW PFN.
   
   GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ESE CRP 35 S SAT
   40 S BWD 20 WNW SEP 20 SSE GYI 40 NNE TXK 25 SE GWO 20 ESE 0A8 35
   SSE CSG 25 NE TLH 65 SE AAF.
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ALONG THE GULF COAST FROM TX TO
   FL PANHANDLE...
   
   ...GULF COAST...
   
   UPPER TROUGH APPEARS TO BE DIGGING A BIT MORE THAN EARLIER MODEL
   GUIDANCE SUGGESTED.  LATEST DATA INDICATES SHORTWAVE TROUGH OF
   CONCERN WILL REACH ITS LOWEST LATITUDE OVER THE NWRN GULF COAST
   REGION BEFORE EJECTING NEWD LATE IN THE PERIOD.  GFS IS A BIT
   FARTHER SOUTH/SLOWER THAN NAM MODEL...SUPPORTING RECENT TRENDS OF
   UPPER TROUGH OVER CNTRL/SRN TX AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD.
   
   THIS POSITION WILL SLOW THE NWD RETURN OF BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE
   INLAND...ALTHOUGH INCREASED LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION AND FAVORABLE
   TRAJECTORIES WILL HOWEVER FORCE QUALITY DEW POINTS/WARM SECTOR
   ONSHORE AHEAD OF SFC LOW.  LOW LATITUDE UPPER FEATURE WILL ENSURE
   MAIN BAROCLINIC ZONE DOES NOT SURGE TOO FAR NORTH WITH AN E-W
   POSITION LIKELY TO HOLD WITHIN ROUGHLY 100MI OF THE COAST.  IN THE
   ABSENCE OF CONVECTION ACROSS CNTRL/SRN TX DURING THE DAY1
   PERIOD...STEEPER LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT WILL SPREAD DOWNSTREAM
   SUPPORTING THE POTENTIAL FOR ROBUST CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AS LOWER
   60S SFC DEW POINTS RETURN WITH MARITIME WARM SECTOR.  VERTICAL SHEAR
   PROFILES APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELL STRUCTURES AS THUNDERSTORMS
   DEVELOP OVER THE MIDDLE/UPPER TX COAST BY 18Z...SPREADING TOWARD THE
   FL PANHANDLE LATE IN THE PERIOD.
   
   ..DARROW.. 01/31/2006
   
   ...NOTICE...
   THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
   DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
   IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:
   
      WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
      WUUS01            PTSDY1
      WUUS02            PTSDY2
      WUUS03            PTSDY3
   
   A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
   ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
   WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
   WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z