Feb 12, 2006 0800 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sun Feb 12 05:36:42 UTC 2006
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Categorical Graphic
20060212 0800 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20060212 0800 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
   SPC AC 120522
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1122 PM CST SAT FEB 11 2006
   
   VALID 131200Z - 141200Z.
   
   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
   ZONAL FLOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE CONUS ON DAY 2 AS A
   PACIFIC TROUGH DIGS SWD INTO THE NWRN STATES...RESULTING IN FURTHER
   RETROGRESSION OF THE WRN RIDGE TOWARD THE ERN PACIFIC WHILE THE ERN
   U.S. LONG WAVE TROUGH MOVES EWD OFFSHORE.  THIS PATTERN CHANGE
   COMBINED WITH A SHORT WAVE TROUGH TRACKING FROM THE ERN GREAT BASIN/
   FOUR CORNERS REGION TO THE SRN PLAINS MONDAY WILL INDUCE A LOW-LEVEL
   TROUGH IN LEE OF THE ROCKIES.  OFFSHORE/NLY LOW-LEVEL WINDS ARE
   EXPECTED TO PREVAIL FOR MUCH OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD OVER THE
   GULF...WITH SLY FLOW DEVELOPING ACROSS THE WRN/NWRN GULF REGION LATE
   IN THE PERIOD AS A SURFACE HIGH SHIFTS EWD TOWARD FL.  HOWEVER...THE
   RECENT INTRUSION OF A CP AIR MASS ACROSS MUCH OF THE GULF BASIN
   SHOULD REQUIRE SEVERAL DAYS OF MODIFICATION BEFORE SUFFICIENT NWD
   MOISTURE RETURN WOULD SUPPORT THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. 
   
   THUS...A COLD/STABLE AIR MASS ACROSS THE LOWER 48 STATES WILL
   PRECLUDE THE THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
   
   ..PETERS.. 02/12/2006
   
   ...NOTICE...
   THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
   DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
   IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:
   
      WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
      WUUS01            PTSDY1
      WUUS02            PTSDY2
      WUUS03            PTSDY3
   
   A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
   ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
   WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
   WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z