SPC AC 290534
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1234 AM CDT SAT APR 29 2006
   
   VALID 301200Z - 011200Z
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOWER TO
   MID MS VALLEY...
   
   ...LOWER TO MID MS VALLEY...
   HIGHLY MERIDIONAL UPPER-LOW IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY DRIFT NWD ACROSS
   THE CNTRL PLAINS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. STRONG LARGE-SCALE
   ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER-LOW SHOULD SUPPORT A LINEAR MCS
   MOVING EWD ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE MORNING. SFC DEWPOINTS IN
   THE 60S F AND CLEARING BACK TO THE WEST ALONG THE MOIST AXIS SHOULD
   RESULT IN POCKETS OF MODERATE INSTABILITY ACROSS LA...AR AND MS BY
   AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...THE NAM AND GFS SOLUTIONS FORECAST A 70 KT
   MID-LEVEL JET SOUTH OF THE UPPER-SYSTEM TO MOVE SLOWLY EWD ACROSS
   THE REGION PROVIDING STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR SUFFICIENT FOR SEVERE
   STORMS. HOWEVER...THE SEVERE THREAT MAY REMAIN ISOLATED AS THE
   UPPER-LOW PULLS FURTHER AWAY FROM THE REGION AND THE MID-LEVEL JET
   GRADUALLY WEAKENS DURING THE DAY.
   
   FURTHER NORTH ACROSS ERN MO AND SRN IL...MODEL FORECASTS ARE
   INCONSISTENT CONCERNING INSTABILITY. HOWEVER...FORECAST SOUNDINGS
   SHOW STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WHICH WOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR AN
   ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT GIVEN ENOUGH INSTABILITY. THE RELATIVELY
   LIMITED MOISTURE SHOULD KEEP ANY SEVERE THREAT MARGINAL SUNDAY
   AFTERNOON.
   
   ..BROYLES.. 04/29/2006
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z