Jan 8, 2006 1100 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Sun Jan 8 06:49:35 UTC 2006
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table in HTML, or PDF formats.
Categorical Graphic
20060108 1100 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20060108 1100 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
   SPC AC 080646
   
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1246 AM CST SUN JAN 08 2006
   
   VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SERN STATES...
   
   THE POSITIVELY TILTED SHORTWAVE TROUGH EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE
   LOWER MS VALLEY MONDAY WILL CONTINUE EWD INTO THE SERN STATES
   TUESDAY. PRIMARY FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO
   REMAIN POST FRONTAL WITH ONLY WEAK CYCLOGENESIS EXPECTED. THEREFORE
   THE BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW WILL REMAIN WEAK NEAR THE COAST...AND THIS
   WILL LIMIT THE RETURN OF PARTIALLY MODIFIED GULF AIR. THE EXPECTED
   MODEST LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN AND MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES SUGGEST
   INSTABILITY IN THE PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR WILL REMAIN MARGINAL. A
   FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY PERSIST PRIMARILY ON THE COOL SIDE OF THE
   FRONT. HOWEVER...THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES APPEAR UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY
   SUBSTANTIAL SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ..DIAL.. 01/08/2006
   
   ...NOTICE...
   THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
   DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
   IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:
   
      WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
      WUUS01            PTSDY1
      WUUS02            PTSDY2
      WUUS03            PTSDY3
   
   A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
   ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
   WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
   WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1100Z