Jan 8, 2006 1100 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook Updated: Sun Jan 8 06:49:35 UTC 2006 Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table in HTML, or PDF formats.
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SPC AC 080646 DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1246 AM CST SUN JAN 08 2006 VALID 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...SERN STATES... THE POSITIVELY TILTED SHORTWAVE TROUGH EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY MONDAY WILL CONTINUE EWD INTO THE SERN STATES TUESDAY. PRIMARY FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN POST FRONTAL WITH ONLY WEAK CYCLOGENESIS EXPECTED. THEREFORE THE BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW WILL REMAIN WEAK NEAR THE COAST...AND THIS WILL LIMIT THE RETURN OF PARTIALLY MODIFIED GULF AIR. THE EXPECTED MODEST LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN AND MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES SUGGEST INSTABILITY IN THE PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR WILL REMAIN MARGINAL. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY PERSIST PRIMARILY ON THE COOL SIDE OF THE FRONT. HOWEVER...THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES APPEAR UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY SUBSTANTIAL SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. ..DIAL.. 01/08/2006 ...NOTICE... THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS: WMO HEADER: AWIPS ID: WUUS01 PTSDY1 WUUS02 PTSDY2 WUUS03 PTSDY3 A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS: WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1100Z |