Feb 23, 2006 1100 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Thu Feb 23 08:31:36 UTC 2006
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20060223 1100 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20060223 1100 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
   SPC AC 230829
   
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0229 AM CST THU FEB 23 2006
   
   VALID 251200Z - 261200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...ERN GULF COAST STATES...
   WNWLY ZONAL FLOW OVER THE NRN U.S. IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN PLACE AS
   A PROGRESSIVE LOW-AMPLITUDE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH DRIFTS QUICKLY EWD
   ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS AND INTO THE GULF COAST STATES ON SATURDAY. AT
   THE SFC...HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO SLIDE SSEWD ACROSS THE MS
   VALLEY WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING SWD ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES.
   BOTH THE NAM AND GFS ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH SPREADING STRONG
   LARGE-SCALE ASCENT OVER THE FRONT ALLOWING FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
   LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION DURING THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS.
   ALTHOUGH THE STRONGEST VERTICAL SHEAR WILL LIKELY BE NORTH OF THE
   BOUNDARY...FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW ENOUGH SHEAR FOR A MARGINAL
   SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. IF ENOUGH INSTABILITY CAN INCREASE ALONG THE
   BOUNDARY AS THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES SATURDAY...A FEW
   MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS MAY DEVELOP FROM SE LA EXTENDING EWD ACROSS
   NRN FL IN SRN GA.
   
   ..BROYLES.. 02/23/2006
   
   ...NOTICE...
   THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WERE
   DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 AND ARE NOW AVAILABLE
   IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:
   
      WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
      WUUS01            PTSDY1
      WUUS02            PTSDY2
      WUUS03            PTSDY3
   
   A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
   ON THIS TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
   WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
   WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM
   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1100Z