SPC AC 010724
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0124 AM CST FRI DEC 01 2006
VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
PHASING SHORT WAVE IMPULSES ARE FORECAST TO PROGRESS THROUGH THE
AMPLIFIED POLAR TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN STATES SUNDAY/
SUNDAY NIGHT. THE LATEST GFS/MREF AND ECMWF ARE SIMILAR IN THE
EVOLUTION OF THESE FEATURES...AND ASSOCIATED WAVE DEVELOPMENT ALONG
STALLED SURFACE FRONT OFF THE SOUTHERN MID ATLANTIC COAST. SOME
POTENTIAL FOR WEAK CONVECTION APPEARS TO EXIST NEAR SOUTHERN
ATLANTIC COASTAL AREAS...ABOVE/WEST OF SURFACE FRONT. HOWEVER...
ANY VIGOROUS THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY APPEARS LIKELY TO BE CONFINED TO
THE VICINITY OF THE GULF STREAM AND THE LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION
REGIME EAST NORTHEAST OF THE SURFACE LOW...WELL EAST OF COASTAL
WATERS.
OTHERWISE...AS THE CENTER OF A LARGE COLD SURFACE RIDGE CONTINUES TO
SETTLE SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE SOUTH CENTRAL STATES...CONVECTIVE
POTENTIAL ACROSS MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE U.S. WILL LIKELY
REMAIN NEGLIGIBLE THROUGH 12Z MONDAY...AND BEYOND.
..KERR.. 12/01/2006
CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1100Z
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