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Public Severe Weather Outlook
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   ZCZC SPCPWOSPC ALL
   WOUS40 KWNS 051641
   ARZ000-ILZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-060045-
   
   PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1041 AM CST TUE FEB 05 2008
   
   ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE PARTS OF THE MID
   SOUTH  THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
   DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG...LONG-TRACK TORNADOES OVER PARTS OF THE
   PARTS OF THE MID SOUTH  THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
   
   THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE
   
          A LARGE PORTION OF ARKANSAS
          A SMALL PART OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
          PARTS OF WESTERN KENTUCKY
          SMALL PART OF SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI
          NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI
          WESTERN TENNESSEE
   
   SURROUNDING THE HIGH RISK AREA...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE
   THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORTIONS OF EASTERN OK/SOUTHERN MO
   EAST-NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY AND ACROSS THE LOWER
   MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY
   
   A STRONG LATE WINTER MID AND UPPER LEVEL WEATHER SYSTEM NOW MOVING
   INTO SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL SUPPORT AN OUTBREAK OF TORNADOES AND OTHER
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AS IT EJECTS ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL UNITED
   STATES THROUGH TONIGHT.  THE AIRMASS AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM IS ALREADY
   UNSEASONABLY WARM AND MOIST THIS MORNING...AND WILL UNDERGO FURTHER
   HEATING AND MOISTENING THROUGHOUT THE DAY.  VIGOROUS THUNDERSTORMS
   WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL
   QUICKLY PRODUCE TORNADOES GIVEN COMBINATION OF EXTREME WINDS ALOFT
   AND VERY WARM AND MOIST AIRMASS.  STORMS WILL LIKELY FORM INTO LINES
   AND CONTINUE THE THREAT OF TORNADOES AND WIND DAMAGE INTO THE LOWER
   MS RIVER AND TN RIVER VALLEYS OVERNIGHT...WITH THE NORTHERN END
   SPREADING UP THE OH RIVER VALLEY.
   
   EXTREMELY STRONG WINDS THROUGHOUT THE ATMOSPHERE WILL SUPPORT THE
   THREAT OF LONGER-LIVED STORMS...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS AND FAST MOVING
   LINES.  THIS WILL ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TORNADOES AND
   WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION...WITH ADDED
   THREAT OF A FEW SIGNIFICANT EVENTS...BOTH TORNADOES AND WIND DAMAGE.
   
   THIS IS POTENTIALLY A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. THOSE IN THE
   THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND
   TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR
   POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY.
   
   ..HALES.. 02/05/2008
   
   $$        
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