Jan 12, 2009 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Jan 12 16:14:15 UTC 2009
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20090112 1630 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20090112 1630 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Torndao Legend Image
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20090112 1630 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Wind Legend Image
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20090112 1630 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Hail Legend Image
   SPC AC 121610
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1010 AM CST MON JAN 12 2009
   
   VALID 121630Z - 131200Z
   
   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
   E PACIFIC RIDGE/CNTRL-ERN U.S. TROUGH PATTERN WILL PERSIST THIS
   PERIOD AS SHORTWAVE IMPULSE NOW IN THE DAKS AMPLIFIES SE TO THE LWR
   MS VLY.  APPROACH OF THE VORT WILL INDUCE SFC WAVE DEVELOPMENT EARLY
   TUESDAY ALONG FRONT NOW STALLING OVER THE SERN GULF OF MEXICO.  
   THIS WILL ENHANCE WAA/ELEVATED MOISTURE INFLOW...AND THE POTENTIAL
   FOR EMBEDDED CONVECTION...AS RAIN DEVELOPS OVER NRN/N CNTRL FL. 
   ATTM IT APPEARS THAT POSITIVE TILT OF UPR TROUGH WILL KEEP MID LVL
   LAPSE RATES WEAK.  THUS CONVECTION LIKELY WILL REMAIN TOO FEEBLE
   AND/OR SHALLOW TO SUPPORT THUNDER.
   
   ..HALES.. 01/12/2009
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z