May 22, 2009 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri May 22 16:18:14 UTC 2009
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20090522 1630 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20090522 1630 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Torndao Legend Image
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20090522 1630 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Wind Legend Image
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20090522 1630 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Hail Legend Image
   SPC AC 221614
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1114 AM CDT FRI MAY 22 2009
   
   VALID 221630Z - 231200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ANOTHER QUIET CONVECTIVE DAY IS EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE
   UNITED STATES AS STRONG WESTERLIES ARE CONFINED TO THE NORTHERN TIER
   OF STATES...AND RICH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ONLY RESIDES OVER THE
   SOUTHEAST REGION.  SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
   OVER THE GULF COAST STATES IN ASSOCIATION WITH BROAD UPPER LOW OFF
   IN THE CENTRAL GULF.  HOWEVER...EXTENSIVE CLOUDS AND WEAK LAPSE
   RATES WILL COMBINE WITH MARGINAL VERTICAL SHEAR TO SUPPRESS
   ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS.
   
   ...NEB/SD/WY...
   WEAK EASTERLY/UPSLOPE LOW LEVEL FLOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER
   WESTERN NEB AND EASTERN WY THIS AFTERNOON.  THIS WILL HELP TO
   TRANSPORT SLIGHTLY MORE MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS INTO HIGHER
   TERRAIN OF EASTERN WY...WHERE CONCENSUS OF MESOSCALE AND OPERATIONAL
   MODELS DEVELOP SCATTERED STORMS.  THESE STORMS MAY DEVELOP EASTWARD
   INTO WESTERN NEB DURING THE EVENING.  WEAK FLOW ALOFT WILL RESULT IN
   SLOW MOVING MULTICELL CLUSTERS CAPABLE OF SOME HAIL.
   
   ..HART/HURLBUT.. 05/22/2009
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z