May 31, 2009 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sun May 31 00:38:21 UTC 2009
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20090531 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20090531 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Torndao Legend Image
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20090531 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Wind Legend Image
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20090531 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Hail Legend Image
   SPC AC 310033
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0733 PM CDT SAT MAY 30 2009
   
   VALID 310100Z - 311200Z
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE OH
   VLY...
   
   ...OH VLY...
   MID-LVL JET STREAK NOSING INTO CNTRL IL HAS BEEN SUPPORTING A FAIRLY
   EXTENSIVE ZONE OF WDLY SCTD TSTMS FROM THE WV/KY COALFIELDS NWWD
   INTO CNTRL IL.  FORTY-50 KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR...LARGELY
   STRAIGHT-LINED HODOGRAPHS AND 1500-2000 J/KG MLCAPE WILL CONTINUE TO
   BE SUPPORTIVE FOR OCCASIONAL SPLITTING SUPERCELLS WITH PRIMARILY
   LARGE HAIL AND DMGG WIND GUSTS.  SVR THREAT MAY PERSIST WELL INTO
   THE EVENING ACROSS SRN IND...NRN/ERN KY...EXTREME SRN OH AND SRN WV
   AS THE MID-LVL WAVE CONTINUES ESEWD TOWARD THE CNTRL APLCNS.  WSW
   LLJ OF 30-35 KTS BLOWING STEEP LAPSE RATE AND RELATIVELY MOIST
   PARCELS INTO THIS REGION WILL SUPPORT EVOLUTION INTO A LOOSELY
   ORGANIZED MCS WITH STRONGEST CELLS LIKELY FAVORING THE S AND W SIDES
   OF THE TSTM CLUSTER.
   
   ..RACY.. 05/31/2009
   
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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z