Sep 7, 2009 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Sep 7 00:58:14 UTC 2009
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20090907 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20090907 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Torndao Legend Image
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20090907 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Wind Legend Image
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20090907 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Hail Legend Image
   SPC AC 070053
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0753 PM CDT SUN SEP 06 2009
   
   VALID 070100Z - 071200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...THE WEST...
   A LARGE UPPER TROUGH MOVING INLAND ACROSS THE PAC NW AND SEVERAL
   SMALLER/WEAKER FEATURES AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THIS TROUGH CONTINUE
   TO SUPPORT ONGOING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  CONVECTION PERSISTS
   ACROSS PARTS OF WA/ORE/NRN ID...AND ALSO FROM MT SWD ACROSS THE CO
   FRONT RANGE INTO AZ/NM.  WHILE THE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL CONTINUE
   INTO THE EVENING...A SLOW DECREASE IN COVERAGE IS EXPECTED...IN
   CONJUNCTION WITH THE ONSET OF DIURNAL STABILIZATION.
   
   ...THE EAST...
   A FEW SHOWERS/STORMS PERSIST ACROSS OK/TX...BUT THE MORE WIDESPREAD
   CONVECTION IS ONGOING ACROSS THE OH/MID AND LOWER MS/TN VALLEYS AND
   VICINITY -- AHEAD OF A SLOW-MOVING UPPER LOW NOW LOCATED CENTERED
   OVER THE MID MS/LOWER OH VALLEYS.  WHILE CONVECTION SHOULD DIMINISH
   WITH TIME...SCATTERED STORMS/STORM CLUSTERS MAY LOCALLY PERSIST
   THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.  GENERALLY MODEST FLOW ALOFT SHOULD
   PRECLUDE APPRECIABLE SEVERE THREAT...THOUGH AN
   ISOLATED/MARGINALLY-SEVERE HAIL/WIND EVENT MAY STILL OCCUR IN THE
   MID MS/TN/LOWER OH VALLEY REGION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.
   
   ELSEWHERE...CONVECTION OVER FL SHOULD DIMINISH THIS EVENING...WHILE
   SHOWERS AND A LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO MAY OCCUR INVOF THE COASTAL
   CAROLINAS THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD AS A WEAK UPPER LOW LINGERS
   OFF THE COAST.
   
   ..GOSS.. 09/07/2009
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z