Sep 16, 2009 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Sep 16 15:56:15 UTC 2009
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20090916 1630 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20090916 1630 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Torndao Legend Image
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20090916 1630 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Wind Legend Image
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20090916 1630 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Hail Legend Image
   SPC AC 161552
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1052 AM CDT WED SEP 16 2009
   
   VALID 161630Z - 171200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   LITTLE OVERALL CHANGE IN LARGE SCALE BLOCKING PATTERN ACROSS THE
   CONUS.  DUAL CUT-OFF LOWS TRAPPED UNDER THE BLOCKING HIGH OVER NRN
   HIGH PLAINS ARE FORECAST TO DRIFT SWD...ONE INTO CENTRAL AZ AND THE
   OTHER OVER SWRN AR BACK INTO ERN TX.
   
   CONDITIONS IN WARM SECTOR...CENTRAL GULF STATES HAVE CHANGED LITTLE
   IN THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS...WITH A VERY MOIST/TROPICAL AIR MASS IN
   PLACE AND JUST ENOUGH SHEAR BEING GENERATED BY THE CUT-OFF LOW TO
   MAINTAIN A NON-ZERO THREAT OF ROTATING PRIMARILY DIURNAL
   THUNDERSTORMS.  THUS WILL CONTINUE WITH BOTH A LOW PROBABILITY OF
   ISOLATED/BRIEF TORNADOS AND WET MICROBURSTS THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY
   EVENING.
   
   ..HALES/GARNER.. 09/16/2009
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z