Storm Prediction Center Nov 2, 2009 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook


Nov 2, 2009 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Nov 2 16:07:18 UTC 2009
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).

Categorical Graphic

Probabilistic Tornado Graphic


Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic


Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic

   SPC AC 021604
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1004 AM CST MON NOV 02 2009
   
   VALID 021630Z - 031200Z
   
   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   RELATIVELY DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE ORGANIZED
   THUNDERSTORM AREAS ACROSS THE NATION THROUGH THE PERIOD. A FEW
   SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE CENTRAL FL PENINSULA
   ALONG A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT...BUT WEAK LAPSE RATES EVIDENCED IN
   12Z RAOBS SHOULD KEEP CONVECTION SHALLOW AND UNLIKELY TO PRODUCE
   MUCH IF ANY LIGHTNING.
   
   ..GRAMS/EVANS.. 11/02/2009
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z