Dec 21, 2009 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Dec 21 19:52:17 UTC 2009
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20091221 2000 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20091221 2000 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Torndao Legend Image
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20091221 2000 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Wind Legend Image
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20091221 2000 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Hail Legend Image
   SPC AC 211950
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0150 PM CST MON DEC 21 2009
   
   VALID 212000Z - 221200Z
   
   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   PREVIOUS FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK WITH NO GENERAL TSTM AREAS NEEDED
   THIS FORECAST PERIOD.
   
   ..PETERS.. 12/21/2009
   
   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1016 AM CST MON DEC 21 2009/
   
   ...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
   LARGELY ZONAL FLOW WILL PREVAIL FROM THE PLNS TO THE E CST THIS
   PERIOD...DOWNSTREAM FROM COMPLEX UPR TROUGH AMPLIFYING SE ACROSS THE
   PACIFIC NW/NRN SIERRA.  POLAR OR MODIFIED ARCTIC AIR WILL PERSIST AT
   LWR LVLS OVER MOST OF THE NATION...PRECLUDING THE DEVELOPMENT OF
   DEEP MOIST CONVECTION.
   
   RELATIVELY STEEP MID LVL LAPSE RATES WILL ACCOMPANY NRN PART OF THE
   UPR SYSTEM AFFECTING THE NWRN STATES...WITH MAIN AXIS OF ELEVATED
   INSTABILITY NOW OVER THE CASCADES LIKELY TO MOVE/DEVELOP SE INTO THE
   SISKIYOU REGION BY THIS EVE.  HOWEVER...DEGREE OF ELEVATED
   INSTABILITY AND FORCING FOR ASCENT EXPECTED TO BE TOO LIMITED TO
   SUPPORT MORE THAN AN ISOLD LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO.
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z