Jan 16, 2009 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Jan 16 05:34:48 UTC 2009
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20090116 0700 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20090116 0700 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability Legend Image
   SPC AC 160527
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1127 PM CST THU JAN 15 2009
   
   VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
   
   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   LONGWAVE PATTERN WILL MAINTAIN PRONOUNCED RIDGING OVER W COAST AND
   TROUGHING ACROSS ERN CONUS.  EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE TROUGH -- NOW
   EVIDENT IN MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY OVER NRN BC AND WRN NW
   TERRITORIES -- WILL MOVE RAPIDLY SEWD ACROSS UPPER MS VALLEY TO OH
   VALLEY AND OZARKS REGION BY END OF PERIOD.  WHILE STG SFC
   FRONTOGENESIS-CYCLOGENESIS WILL OCCUR WITH THIS SYSTEM...BOUNDARY
   LAYER MOISTURE WILL BE INSUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT DEEP MOIST
   CONVECTION...GIVEN STG LOW LEVEL RIDGING INVOF GULF COAST AND
   RELATED DRY TRAJECTORIES.  AIR MASS MODIFICATION OVER NWRN GULF MAY
   RESULT IN SUFFICIENT THETAE TO SUPPORT SHOWERS...AND PERHAPS
   ISOLATED/PREFRONTAL TSTMS OVER WATER BY 18/12Z.  PRIND DEEPEST
   CONVECTION WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE.
   
   ..EDWARDS.. 01/16/2009
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z