Mar 11, 2009 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Wed Mar 11 07:12:42 UTC 2009
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20090311 0730 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20090311 0730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability Legend Image
   SPC AC 110709
   
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0209 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2009
   
   VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
   LARGE SCALE SPLIT FLOW WILL PREVAIL INTO FRIDAY ACROSS THE CONUS. A
   BROAD SOUTHERN STREAM UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MIGRATE EASTWARD
   OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES/FAR NORTHERN MEXICO...WITH POTENTIAL FOR
   AN EJECTING/LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. WITH
   APPRECIABLE MOISTURE CONFINED TO THE IMMEDIATE GULF COAST AND
   PERSISTENT HIGH PRESSURE EAST OF THE ROCKIES...DEEP CONVECTIVE
   POTENTIAL WILL GENERALLY BE QUITE LOW.
   
   ONE EXCEPTION WILL BE CONTINUED RAIN/MAINLY ISOLD TSTM POTENTIAL
   ACROSS TX INTO LA...VIA PERTURBED SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT COUPLED
   WITH WEAK ELEVATED BUOYANCY ATOP A COOL/STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER. ANY
   RISK FOR HAIL SHOULD BE CONSIDERABLY LIMITED WITH WEAK ELEVATED CAPE
   OF A FEW HUNDRED J/KG OR LESS...AND THUS SEVERE TSTMS ARE NOT
   EXPECTED.
   
   ..GUYER.. 03/11/2009
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z