Dec 30, 2009 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Wed Dec 30 08:27:51 UTC 2009
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20091230 0830 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20091230 0830 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability Legend Image
   SPC AC 300825
   
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0225 AM CST WED DEC 30 2009
   
   VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   NEW YEARS DAY WILL LIKELY SEE A SHORTWAVE TROUGH...EMBEDDED WITHIN
   THE SOUTHERN PORTION/BASE OF AN EASTERN STATES LONGWAVE
   TROUGH...CONTINUE TO RACE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE SOUTHEAST
   STATES TO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC...WHILE RELATIVELY LOW AMPLITUDE
   WEST-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT PREVAILS OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE
   CONUS. IT SEEMS PROBABLE THAT SHOWERS/TSTMS WILL BE ONGOING FRIDAY
   MORNING ALONG/JUST AHEAD OF AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT ACROSS FL.
   ONGOING CLOUD COVER/PRECIPITATION...WITH WEAK PRE-FRONTAL BUOYANCY
   INLAND AND A MARGINAL SOURCE REGION AIRMASS...ALONG WITH THE EARLY
   DAY TIMING OF THE COLD FRONT...IMPLY A VERY LOW RISK FOR SEVERE
   STORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF FL. ELSEWHERE...PREVALENCE OF
   COLD/STABLE CONDITIONS WILL LIMIT TSTM POTENTIAL AS THE COLD FRONT
   SWEEPS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF AND ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE
   BEGINS TO DEVELOP SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL STATES.
   
   ..GUYER.. 12/30/2009
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z