DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0100 AM CDT MON JUN 20 2011 VALID TIME 201200Z - 211200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 31707961 33228164 34578255 35978369 37968618 39368872 39389209 38619357 34689518 33059740 32359905 32889996 33739989 34709920 36749882 38719854 39759955 39710043 39210117 39250227 40160299 41230262 43180117 45069753 45159168 44478859 41788309 41158107 38937984 37477972 34737738 34037625 0.05 35029896 35999871 38229835 39219842 39879900 40080013 40380067 41040116 42250102 43809862 44569555 44119233 43269071 41948983 40929019 40349400 39149431 35219608 34069749 34419873 35029896 0.10 39829751 40519805 40759937 41469989 42169935 42449819 42389695 41909574 41279528 40169532 39579594 39439664 39829751 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 31747976 33168199 35058335 36088449 38958792 39368936 38799129 34729431 33419624 32069869 30100123 30590215 31690152 34529952 35949896 38499880 39199920 39110029 38430222 38930315 40080345 41650287 44230267 47370420 49370685 99999999 49579984 46929799 45469090 44478507 43428128 99999999 43108046 42697949 42117850 41337829 37527961 35127761 34587582 0.15 42918085 42017921 41247868 38127983 36928156 36608346 37048471 38398621 40028845 40229011 38619285 34839459 33529640 32329897 32650002 33250006 34229938 35789870 39259833 39809877 39889979 39760094 40400208 41230218 44380067 45349838 45519371 44888972 44158548 43148216 0.30 41550092 43759990 44959737 44689190 44279035 43178972 41449001 40479234 40179275 37979522 35529624 34469725 34329811 34559861 35689832 37259797 39649788 40099864 40349982 41550092 0.45 40789961 41469985 42319921 43179831 43299645 42799497 42009413 40529399 39659479 39289572 39199737 40009780 40499832 40789961 SIGN 35689848 36699813 38239803 39509788 40169869 40389987 41550096 43120016 43779940 44259721 44069454 44059414 42999201 41809176 39859450 38929519 35429650 34299758 34519861 35689848 && ... WIND ... 0.05 31638012 33378280 35048455 36408532 38298810 38458984 38249154 35179294 32609550 30720013 31070139 31800149 34849929 37519863 39209870 39740057 40300141 40790175 42020169 43899889 44959365 44818858 44158496 43338141 99999999 42878014 42427852 41477812 39857786 37177855 35677800 34257536 0.05 25197961 25338022 25618102 26118177 27028240 27948231 28238111 26587943 0.15 31867980 33258179 36188372 38678715 39548902 39299089 38649271 36909366 34709472 33459664 32259893 32610010 33150009 34859908 37469843 39239832 39809900 39939994 41320061 42629973 43849706 44349417 44078976 43788731 43348476 43038278 42678200 99999999 42768042 42267948 41327891 39787919 38047996 35307811 34147663 0.30 38809700 39919773 40499829 41279854 42679824 43309703 43309432 43029174 42079066 41349049 39959129 39519298 38459402 35519499 34099688 34399803 34939809 36599726 37859687 38809700 0.30 41448585 41888422 41168182 39678080 37988102 37398258 37438370 38568520 39698598 41448585 0.45 39259661 40249727 41669740 42279642 42249440 41889404 40449404 39549475 39189591 39259661 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MDT 39559486 39219582 39179658 39249742 39759763 40179790 40519842 40749950 41349979 42209941 43179826 43339655 42809496 41899404 40419404 39559486 SLGT 42768049 42177940 41307881 39687925 37887988 36617892 35127797 34137660 99999999 31797978 33398196 36178363 38768732 39548901 39309099 38619280 36769371 34739464 33359680 32259885 32670010 33180009 35099893 37599842 39199833 39809892 39910005 39680087 40440214 41260223 41900187 44340077 45349838 45569387 45279193 44598794 43718384 43038220 TSTM 43248010 42697770 42097711 41167741 39847874 38777896 37717916 37207837 37317774 37787713 38067578 37787426 99999999 31338003 32918244 34478449 36508687 37498852 38019004 37929121 35279218 33699327 32349479 31559708 30899907 30180060 28910133 99999999 28700311 30580271 32370139 34529969 36089914 36809939 36340048 36190201 36450364 37070481 38340557 39610562 41800374 44070365 45140394 46390462 46420578 45170670 45130828 46000935 47341095 49391431 99999999 49809916 48119823 47279669 46399358 45958939 43958160 99999999 23948170 25758200 27148271 28588260 29218218 29198154 28138074 26977948 && THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNE FLV 15 NW TOP MHK 25 SSE CNK 15 N CNK 40 SE HSI HSI 25 W EAR 10 SW BBW 30 NNW BUB 45 SSW MHE 20 SSE FSD 20 NE SLB 30 NW DSM 15 SSW LWD 15 NNE FLV. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNW ERI 10 W JHW 10 NNE DUJ 35 E MGW 25 ENE SSU 25 E DAN 25 S GSB 70 SSE EWN ...CONT... 80 S CHS AGS 30 NE TYS 45 SW BMG 20 SSW DEC 45 SSE UIN 35 WSW COU 15 SE UMN 20 S RKR 25 SSW GYI 30 N BWD 30 NW ABI 60 NNW ABI 25 SE CSM 25 NNE P28 35 NE RSL 55 ENE HLC 35 SE MCK 40 SSW MCK 30 WSW IML 40 ENE SNY 45 WSW MHN 25 W PIR 10 SSE ABR 10 E STC 35 NW EAU 10 NE GRB 15 NE MBS 45 NE MTC. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 WNW BUF 30 S ROC 10 WSW ELM 25 WSW IPT 40 SW AOO 35 N SHD 25 N LYH 40 NNW AVC 25 WSW RIC 20 NNE RIC 20 WNW WAL 65 E WAL ...CONT... 85 E SSI 40 SW AGS 40 ENE RMG 30 NNW BNA 30 NNE PAH 25 NE FAM 35 ESE VIH 40 N LIT 40 NW ELD GGG 10 ESE ACT 50 ENE JCT 55 WSW JCT 40 SW DRT ...CONT... 110 SSW 6R6 25 SSE FST 10 NNE BGS 25 WSW LTS 40 ESE GAG 40 W AVK 40 W GAG 35 ENE DHT 25 W CAO 30 NW RTN 55 SW COS 40 WSW DEN 10 SW BFF 30 W RAP 35 SW 2WX 20 W BHK MLS 30 NNE SHR 50 SSE BIL 35 SE 3HT 20 ESE GTF 75 N GPI ...CONT... 115 N DVL 30 E DVL 25 NNE FAR 25 E BRD 20 N RHI 70 E BAX ...CONT... 45 S EYW 30 SSW APF 20 SSW SRQ 45 N PIE OCF 30 W DAB MLB 40 ENE PBI.