DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1104 AM CDT MON JUN 20 2011 VALID TIME 201630Z - 211200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 31707961 33228164 34578255 35978369 37968618 39368872 39389209 38619357 35099529 33149768 32299889 32640006 33210010 34709920 37879811 39049773 39719839 39710043 39210117 39250227 40160299 41230262 43180117 45069753 44749199 42988891 41928401 41158107 38937984 37477972 34737738 34037625 0.05 35029896 37319804 39329740 39989801 40049880 40189926 40569961 41759968 42599970 43809862 44569555 44119233 43269071 41948983 40929019 40329358 39109452 35249674 34099809 34149886 35029896 0.10 39229682 40249652 40669745 40749799 41049887 41979940 42669902 42959717 42649546 42109403 40589408 39589484 39219563 39229682 SIGN 41889901 42409857 42719740 42529656 42019628 41349627 40979700 41239868 41889901 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 49579984 46929799 45469090 44478507 43428128 99999999 43108046 42697949 42117850 41337829 37527961 35127761 34587582 99999999 31747976 33168199 35058335 36088449 38958792 39368936 38799129 34729431 33419624 32069869 30100123 30590215 31690152 34529952 35949896 38499880 39199920 38769986 37600046 38760258 40290309 41450273 44230267 47370420 49370685 0.15 42298105 41478028 40537969 38127983 36928156 36608346 37048471 38398621 40028845 40229011 38619280 36539399 34939550 32359886 32650002 33250006 34229938 35789870 36939813 38949746 39929812 39269993 38000087 38430168 39160209 40510245 41150198 44380067 45349838 45519371 43878958 42268690 41688250 0.30 41550092 43759990 44959737 44689190 44029046 43178972 41449001 40479234 40179275 37979522 35529624 34469725 34329811 34559861 35689832 38929719 40459758 40479843 40349982 41550092 0.45 41659937 42239936 43179826 43589695 43499534 43139425 41969398 40529399 39659479 37019610 37139694 36849760 41009638 41449724 41289879 41659937 SIGN 35689848 36699813 38769732 40219789 40169887 40300001 41550096 43120016 43779940 44259721 44069454 44059414 42999201 41809176 39859450 38929519 35429650 34299758 34519861 35689848 && ... WIND ... 0.05 25197961 25338022 25618102 26118177 27028240 27948231 28238111 26587943 0.05 31638012 33378280 35048455 36408532 38298810 38458984 38249154 35179294 32609550 30720013 31070139 31800149 34849929 38999860 38989955 37550049 38060263 41580286 43899889 44959365 44818858 44158496 43338141 99999999 42878014 42427852 41477812 39857786 37177855 35677800 34257536 0.15 31867980 33258179 36188372 38678715 39548902 39299089 38649271 36909366 35039542 33489725 32259893 32610010 33150009 34859908 37469843 39239832 39349965 38560025 38100048 38620256 39090258 40130242 41080226 42669963 43849706 44349417 42688729 42378652 42038480 41578295 41728201 99999999 42178121 41428026 40437963 39787919 38047996 35307811 34147663 0.30 39359755 39689795 40499865 41099894 42749873 43559703 43489444 42989187 42039079 41309063 39919142 39479310 38409414 36079503 34219716 34349815 35319848 37069787 38239777 39359755 0.45 35179799 39329715 41009846 43179714 43289438 41889404 40349429 35219657 35219723 35179799 SIGN 40649436 38339449 36269520 35019659 34539742 34569787 35089818 38189729 39349697 40229605 40499550 40649436 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MDT 36109799 37889727 39229682 40799653 41089758 41059901 41779914 42689899 43459700 43459524 42659413 41319412 39759455 38389503 36799588 35699637 35189671 35379831 36109799 SLGT 42188095 41628044 40267951 39687925 37887988 36617892 35127797 34137660 99999999 31797978 33398196 36178363 38768732 39548901 39309099 38619280 36489399 34969551 33129770 32259885 32670010 33180009 35099893 36909822 38979746 39909811 39539966 37600073 38280179 39200218 40360191 41250183 41980142 44340077 45349838 45569387 44529137 42288686 41848399 41668251 TSTM 23948170 25758200 27148271 28588260 29218218 29198154 28138074 26977948 TSTM 31678015 32968333 34798457 37888658 38488762 38228974 36949064 35219197 33699327 32349479 31559708 30559843 29719931 28910133 99999999 28700311 30580271 32370139 34529969 36089914 36809939 36340048 36190201 36450364 37070481 38340557 39610562 41800374 44070365 45140394 46390462 46420578 45170670 45130828 46000935 47341095 49391431 99999999 49809916 48119823 47279669 46399358 45958939 43958160 99999999 43248010 42487739 41117661 39227693 38257695 37977627 38067578 37787426 99999999 26768297 28588260 29218218 29198154 28138074 28117991 && THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSW END 20 NNE ICT 10 NW MHK 15 ESE LNK 30 SSW OLU 25 N EAR BUB 20 NW ONL 15 WSW FSD 20 NNW SPW 10 NNE FOD 30 WSW DSM 20 E STJ 35 SSW OJC 10 E BVO 25 E CQB 40 S CQB 25 NW CHK 15 SSW END. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 W ERI 30 NNE YNG LBE 35 E MGW 25 ENE SSU 25 E DAN 25 S GSB 70 SSE EWN ...CONT... 80 S CHS AGS 30 NE TYS 45 SW BMG 20 SSW DEC 45 SSE UIN 35 WSW COU 30 S UMN 15 ENE MLC 30 NW FTW 30 N BWD 30 NW ABI 60 NNW ABI 25 SE CSM 25 ENE AVK 15 NE SLN 35 NW CNK 15 NE HLC 25 S GCK 50 ENE LAA ITR 20 SW IML 50 NNW IML 20 WSW MHN 25 W PIR 10 SSE ABR 10 E STC 25 SSE EAU 25 WNW BEH 20 NNW TOL 40 WNW CLE. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 S EYW 30 SSW APF 20 SSW SRQ 45 N PIE OCF 30 W DAB MLB 40 ENE PBI. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 ESE SAV 25 NE MCN 40 ESE CHA 35 ENE OWB 30 N EVV 25 SSE BLV 15 NW POF 35 NNE LIT 40 NW ELD GGG 10 ESE ACT 45 WNW AUS 25 NNW HDO 40 SW DRT ...CONT... 110 SSW 6R6 25 SSE FST 10 NNE BGS 25 WSW LTS 40 ESE GAG 40 W AVK 40 W GAG 35 ENE DHT 25 W CAO 30 NW RTN 55 SW COS 40 WSW DEN 10 SW BFF 30 W RAP 35 SW 2WX 20 W BHK MLS 30 NNE SHR 50 SSE BIL 35 SE 3HT 20 ESE GTF 75 N GPI ...CONT... 115 N DVL 30 E DVL 25 NNE FAR 25 E BRD 20 N RHI 70 E BAX ...CONT... 70 WNW BUF 35 NW ELM 20 ESE IPT 15 W BWI 30 W NHK 25 SSE NHK 20 WNW WAL 65 E WAL ...CONT... 50 SSW SRQ 45 N PIE OCF 30 W DAB MLB 45 E MLB.