Feb 9, 2011 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Feb 9 15:57:43 UTC 2011
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20110209 1630 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20110209 1630 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Torndao Legend Image
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20110209 1630 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Wind Legend Image
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20110209 1630 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Hail Legend Image
   SPC AC 091554
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0954 AM CST WED FEB 09 2011
   
   VALID 091630Z - 101200Z
   
   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
   
   A BROAD...CYCLONIC FLOW REGIME WILL BE MAINTAINED OVER THE CONUS
   THROUGH THE D1 PERIOD.  EMBEDDED WITHIN THIS PATTERN...A STRONG
   SHORT-WAVE TROUGH OVER THE SRN PLAINS IS FORECAST TO DEAMPLIFY WHILE
   TRANSLATING THROUGH THE GULF STATES AND SERN U.S.  AT THE
   SURFACE...LOW-LEVEL MASS RESPONSE TO ABOVE-MENTIONED SHORT-WAVE
   TROUGH WILL RESULT IN THE NWD ADVECTION OF A MARITIME AIR MASS
   THROUGH THE ERN GULF OF MEXICO AND FL...MARKED BY BOUNDARY LAYER DEW
   POINTS IN THE 60S.  WHILE ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL BE
   POSSIBLE WITHIN WAA REGIME OVER NRN FL LATE TONIGHT INTO THU
   MORNING...IT APPEARS THAT WEAK MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL LIMIT
   PARCEL BUOYANCY DEPTH AND THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE ROBUST TSTM
   DEVELOPMENT.  ELSEWHERE...A DRY...STATICALLY STABLE ENVIRONMENT WILL
   PREVAIL.
   
   ..MEAD.. 02/09/2011
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z