Categorical Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.

   SPC AC 051225
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0725 AM CDT WED OCT 05 2011
   
   VALID 051300Z - 061200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   A LARGE AND DEEP UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO BECOME ESTABLISHED ACROSS
   THE WESTERN HALF OF THE NATION BY TONIGHT...WITH THE PRIMARY
   MID/UPPER LEVEL JET AXIS EXTENDING FROM SOUTHERN CA INTO THE
   SOUTHERN ROCKIES.  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING THIS MORNING
   ACROSS PARTS OF NM AND WEST TX.  THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY PERSIST
   MUCH THE DAY AND MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD...WHILE OTHER WIDELY SCATTERED
   THUNDERSTORMS FORM FROM THE MT ROCKIES INTO CO.  OTHER MORE
   WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF
   CENTRAL/NORTHERN CA AND NORTHERN NV AS THE POCKET OF COLDEST MID
   LEVEL TEMPERATURES MOVES ASHORE LATER TODAY.  FINALLY...SCATTERED
   DIURNAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTH/EAST COAST OF THE
   FL PENINSULA.  NONE OF THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE.
   
   ..HART/JIRAK.. 10/05/2011
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z