Oct 21, 2011 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook | |
Updated: Fri Oct 21 00:31:06 UTC 2011 | |
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table |
Categorical Graphic |
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Probabilistic Tornado Graphic |
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point. |
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic |
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. |
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic |
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point. |
SPC AC 210026 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0726 PM CDT THU OCT 20 2011 VALID 210100Z - 211200Z ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...SYNOPSIS... UPPER LOW WILL GRADUALLY LIFT NEWD ACROSS SRN ONTARIO INTO SRN QUEBEC TONIGHT WITH SUBSIDENCE/DRYING EXPECTED TO SUPPRESS DEEP CONVECTION ACROSS NRN NY/VT. EARLIER TSTM ACTIVITY THAT WAS NOTED ACROSS THIS REGION HAS WANED AND RETREATED INTO CANADA AND LIGHTNING IS NOT ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE CONUS THROUGH 12Z. ..DARROW.. 10/21/2011 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z