Nov 28, 2011 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Nov 28 00:49:05 UTC 2011
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20111128 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20111128 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20111128 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20111128 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
   SPC AC 280045
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0645 PM CST SUN NOV 27 2011
   
   VALID 280100Z - 281200Z
   
   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   WIDESPREAD RAIN CONTINUES FROM THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION SSWWD
   ACROSS THE MIDDLE OH VALLEY AND MID SOUTH INTO THE CENTRAL GULF
   COAST STATES.  HOWEVER...WEAK INSTABILITY INLAND HAS CONFINED WHAT
   FEW THUNDERSTORMS HAVE EXISTED TO OFFSHORE AREAS OVER THE NRN GULF. 
   WITH NO MORE THAN A STRAY STRIKE EXPECTED INLAND INVOF THE FL
   PANHANDLE REGION...WILL DROP THE 10% THUNDER LINE FOR THE REMAINDER
   OF THE PERIOD.  ELSEWHERE...THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED.
   
   ..GOSS.. 11/28/2011
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z